Pietà Hotspurs vs Mġarr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
27
Total shots
83
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
60
Corner Kicks
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Brincat J. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Cristhyan Noto ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Pietà Hotspurs
52.2%
Draw
25.5%
Mġarr United
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 26.8% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 26.5% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pietà Hotspurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pietà Hotspurs's performance.
  • Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mġarr United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pietà Hotspurs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mġarr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pietà Hotspurs - Mġarr United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.08)
    3.53
    (3.4)
    4.03
    (3.1)
    11%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ))
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pietà Hotspurs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Pietà Hotspurs won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pietà Hotspurs - Mġarr United were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs 3:2
    23.11.2024 Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs 4:0
    Latest results of Pietà Hotspurs
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    10.12.2025 Mġarr United - Melita 1:3
    29.11.2025 Marsa - Mġarr United 2:3
    26.10.2025 Mġarr United - Balzan 1:4
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation