Miami Marlins vs New York Mets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
22/03/2026 at 13:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
97
Errors
20
2B - double
01
3B - triple
10
Home runs
00
Runs batted in
33
Left on base
95
Base on balls
51
Strikeouts
1013
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3333
Batting average
0.2730.212

Chances of winning


Miami Marlins
41.4%
New York Mets
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miami Marlins's form might have worsened.
  • New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Mets's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Marlins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Mets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Miami Marlins - New York Mets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.87)

    1.64
    (1.95)
    4.5%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Miami Marlins - New York Mets?
  • Users Predictions: New York Mets will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
    • Miami is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, NY Mets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 83:102. (average 4.2:5.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:38. (average 3.7:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Marlins - New York Mets were as follows:
    17.03.2026 Miami Marlins - New York Mets 5:5
    09.03.2026 New York Mets - Miami Marlins 9:0
    06.03.2026 Miami Marlins - New York Mets 2:0
    21.02.2026 New York Mets - Miami Marlins 1:2
    28.09.2025 Miami Marlins - New York Mets 4:0
    Latest results of Miami Marlins
    Latest results of New York Mets
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves302127163:1130.750
    2St.Louis Cardinals281729119:1060.654
    3New York Yankees3119012153:1370.613
    4Pittsburgh Pirates3017013143:1420.567
    5Washington Nationals2814311102:1060.560
    6Baltimore Orioles2913313125:1340.500
    7New York Mets2712213122:990.480
    8Toronto Blue Jays2812214136:1210.462
    9Miami Marlins271131393:1190.458
    10Boston Red Sox2913016141:1820.448
    11Houston Astros2811314111:1040.440
    12Detroit Tigers289613144:1330.409
    13Minnesota Twins3011118143:1600.379
    14Tampa Bay Rays3011118114:1420.379
    15Philadelphia Phillies2910217136:1490.370


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers312029210:1730.690
    2San Francisco Giants291919176:1280.679
    3Texas Rangers3018012178:1350.600
    4Cleveland Guardians3116114186:1680.533
    5Los Angeles Angels3317115151:1860.531
    6San Diego Padres3115115187:1810.500
    7Colorado Rockies3115115202:2090.500
    8Arizona Diamondbacks3115115172:2010.500
    9Chicago White Sox3215116172:1590.484
    10Milwaukee Brewers3014016173:1550.467
    11Athletics3114116198:1880.467
    12Chicago Cubs3114017168:1830.452
    13Cincinnati Reds3114017182:2090.452
    14Seattle Mariners3111119171:2170.367
    15Kansas City Royals319121157:1890.300