New York Mets vs Miami Marlins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/03/2026 at 18:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Chances of winning


New York Mets
51.4%
Miami Marlins
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Miami Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • New York Mets - Miami Marlins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.76)

    1.96
    (2.09)
    4.7%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for New York Mets - Miami Marlins?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Miami will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 94:81. (average 4.7:4.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 61:49. (average 5.5:4.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Mets - Miami Marlins were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Miami Marlins - New York Mets 2:0
    21.02.2026 New York Mets - Miami Marlins 1:2
    28.09.2025 Miami Marlins - New York Mets 4:0
    27.09.2025 Miami Marlins - New York Mets 0:5
    26.09.2025 Miami Marlins - New York Mets 6:2
    Latest results of New York Mets
    Latest results of Miami Marlins
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves16112396:700.786
    2Pittsburgh Pirates16110593:700.688
    3New York Yankees15100590:600.667
    4Washington Nationals1583462:550.667
    5St.Louis Cardinals1691673:700.600
    6New York Mets1371559:450.583
    7Boston Red Sox1680892:1080.500
    8Baltimore Orioles1772864:840.467
    9Miami Marlins1461748:640.462
    10Toronto Blue Jays1662878:730.429
    11Houston Astros1653859:600.385
    12Tampa Bay Rays17611064:760.375
    13Philadelphia Phillies16511077:820.333
    14Detroit Tigers1534872:870.273
    15Minnesota Twins16411177:1000.267


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1San Francisco Giants161303112:690.813
    2Los Angeles Dodgers171106113:900.647
    3Chicago White Sox181107104:720.611
    4Colorado Rockies16817101:1060.533
    5Cleveland Guardians18918106:910.529
    6Texas Rangers1790892:820.529
    7Milwaukee Brewers1680890:770.500
    8San Diego Padres17809106:830.471
    9Arizona Diamondbacks1780985:1100.471
    10Cincinnati Reds15708104:1180.467
    11Chicago Cubs1670970:880.438
    12Los Angeles Angels19801184:1190.421
    13Athletics17701091:1070.412
    14Kansas City Royals1661992:940.400
    15Seattle Mariners17411284:1280.250