Miami Marlins vs New York Mets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball MLB Miami Marlins - New York Mets
Result
4:0
28/09/2025 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldMLB.TV

Match Stats

Hits
95
Errors
00
2B - double
31
3B - triple
10
Home Runs
00
Runs batted in
40
Left on base
910
Base on Balls
37
Strikeouts
611
Stolen bases
32
At bat
3330
Batting Average
0.2730.167

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Marlins
43.8%
New York Mets
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miami Marlins's form might have worsened.
  • New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Mets's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Marlins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Mets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Miami Marlins - New York Mets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.91)

    1.72
    (1.91)
    3.8%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Miami Marlins - New York Mets?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). NY Mets will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Mets: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Mets (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, NY Mets has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 84:108. (average 4.2:5.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:41. (average 3.8:4.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Marlins - New York Mets were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Miami Marlins - New York Mets 0:5
    26.09.2025 Miami Marlins - New York Mets 6:2
    31.08.2025 New York Mets - Miami Marlins 1:5
    30.08.2025 New York Mets - Miami Marlins 8:11
    29.08.2025 New York Mets - Miami Marlins 19:9
    Latest results of Miami Marlins
    Latest results of New York Mets
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Milwaukee Brewers (1)Chicago Cubs (4)1 : 0
    2Philadelphia Phillies (2)Los Angeles Dodgers (3)0 : 2
    3Toronto Blue Jays (1)New York Yankees (4)2 : 0
    4Seattle Mariners (2)Detroit Tigers (6)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2