Result
4:3
22/03/2026 at 13:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Hits |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 2B - double |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 3B - triple |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Home runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Runs batted in |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Left on base |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Base on balls |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Strikeouts |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Stolen bases |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| At bat |
|---|
| 33 | 33 |
| Batting average |
|---|
| 0.273 | 0.212 |
Chances of winning
Miami Marlins 41.4% | New York Mets 58.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miami Marlins's form might have worsened.New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Mets's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Marlins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Mets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Miami Marlins - New York Mets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.3 ↑ (1.87) |
|
1.64 ↓ (1.95) |
4.5% (4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins - New York Mets?
Users Predictions:
New York Mets will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:5.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
- Miami is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, NY Mets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 83:102. (average 4.2:5.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:38. (average 3.7:3.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Marlins won against New York Mets?
Miami Marlins has won 25 of their last 59 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Mets won against Miami Marlins?
New York Mets has won 33 of their last 59 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Marlins - New York Mets were as follows:
17.03.2026
Miami Marlins
-
New York Mets
5:5
09.03.2026
New York Mets
-
Miami Marlins
9:0
06.03.2026
Miami Marlins
-
New York Mets
2:0
21.02.2026
New York Mets
-
Miami Marlins
1:2
28.09.2025
Miami Marlins
-
New York Mets
4:0
Latest results of Miami Marlins
Latest results of New York Mets
MLB Spring Training Table
2026Grapefruit | | Pl | W | D | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 30 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 163:113 | 0.750 |
| 2 | St.Louis Cardinals | 28 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 119:106 | 0.654 |
| 3 | New York Yankees | 31 | 19 | 0 | 12 | 153:137 | 0.613 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 30 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 143:142 | 0.567 |
| 5 | Washington Nationals | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 102:106 | 0.560 |
| 6 | Baltimore Orioles | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 125:134 | 0.500 |
| 7 | New York Mets | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 122:99 | 0.480 |
| 8 | Toronto Blue Jays | 28 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 136:121 | 0.462 |
| 9 | Miami Marlins | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 93:119 | 0.458 |
| 10 | Boston Red Sox | 29 | 13 | 0 | 16 | 141:182 | 0.448 |
| 11 | Houston Astros | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 111:104 | 0.440 |
| 12 | Detroit Tigers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 144:133 | 0.409 |
| 13 | Minnesota Twins | 30 | 11 | 1 | 18 | 143:160 | 0.379 |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Rays | 30 | 11 | 1 | 18 | 114:142 | 0.379 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Phillies | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 136:149 | 0.370 |
Cactus | | Pl | W | D | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 31 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 210:173 | 0.690 |
| 2 | San Francisco Giants | 29 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 176:128 | 0.679 |
| 3 | Texas Rangers | 30 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 178:135 | 0.600 |
| 4 | Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 186:168 | 0.533 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Angels | 33 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 151:186 | 0.531 |
| 6 | San Diego Padres | 31 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 187:181 | 0.500 |
| 7 | Colorado Rockies | 31 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 202:209 | 0.500 |
| 8 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 31 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 172:201 | 0.500 |
| 9 | Chicago White Sox | 32 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 172:159 | 0.484 |
| 10 | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 14 | 0 | 16 | 173:155 | 0.467 |
| 11 | Athletics | 31 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 198:188 | 0.467 |
| 12 | Chicago Cubs | 31 | 14 | 0 | 17 | 168:183 | 0.452 |
| 13 | Cincinnati Reds | 31 | 14 | 0 | 17 | 182:209 | 0.452 |
| 14 | Seattle Mariners | 31 | 11 | 1 | 19 | 171:217 | 0.367 |
| 15 | Kansas City Royals | 31 | 9 | 1 | 21 | 157:189 | 0.300 |