Michael Agwi vs Luca Castagnola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Rovereto Challenger Men Michael Agwi - Luca Castagnola
Result
2:0
18/11/2024 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rovereto (Italy) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Match Stats

Aces
81
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
78%61%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (32/38)44% (12/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (5/11)71% (12/17)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
56% (15/27)16% (6/38)
2nd Return Points Won
29% (5/17)55% (6/11)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
76% (37/49)55% (24/44)
Return Points Won
45% (20/44)24% (12/49)
Total Points Won
61% (57/93)39% (36/93)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Michael Agwi
81.5%
Luca Castagnola
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Agwi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Agwi's performance.
  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castagnola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Agwi than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Agwi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castagnola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Michael Agwi - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.47)

    5.02
    (2.5)
    7.5%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Agwi is ranked ATP: 421. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 711.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Agwi is absolute favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Michael Agwi
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Vincent Ruggeri S.2 : 1
    2Prizmic D.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Dalla Valle E.Agwi M. (Q)1 : 2
    4Maestrelli F. (WC)Herbert P. (5)2 : 0
    5Collignon R. (4)Masur D.0 : 2
    6Vatutin A. (Alt)Oradini G. (WC)2 : 0
    7Berrettini J. (WC)Arnaboldi F.1 : 2
    8Marie J.Holmgren A. (8)0 : 2
    9Landaluce M. (6)Sels J.2 : 0
    10Brunold M. (Q)Jacquet K.1 : 2
    11Travaglia S.Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    12Zapata Miralles B.Ritschard A. (3)2 : 0
    13Karol M. (LL)Prihodko O. (Q)0 : 2
    14Mikrut L.Feldbausch K. (Q)2 : 0
    15Pavel B. (Q)Rehberg M. H. (Alt)1 : 2
    16Fonio G.Nardi L. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    2Agwi M.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    3Masur D.Vatutin A.0 : 2
    4Arnaboldi F.Holmgren A. (8)0 : 2
    5Landaluce M. (6)Jacquet K.2 : 0
    6Blancaneaux G.Zapata Miralles B.2 : 1
    7Prihodko O.Mikrut L.2 : 0
    8Rehberg M. H.Nardi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    2Vatutin A.Holmgren A. (8)0 : 2
    3Landaluce M. (6)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    4Prihodko O.Nardi L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Maestrelli F.Holmgren A. (8)2 : 1
    2Landaluce M. (6)Nardi L. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Maestrelli F.Nardi L. (2)0 : 2