Michael Geerts vs Arthur Gea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lyon Challenger Men Michael Geerts - Arthur Gea
Result
0:2
10/06/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
59
1st Serve Percentage
44%63%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (18/23)74% (43/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)47% (16/34)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)100% (10/10)
1st Return Points Won
26% (15/58)26% (6/23)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (18/34)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/10)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
63% (33/52)64% (59/92)
Return Points Won
36% (33/92)37% (19/52)
Total Points Won
46% (66/144)54% (78/144)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Michael Geerts
38.1%
Arthur Gea
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 56%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.
  • Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Gea's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Gea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Michael Geerts - Arthur Gea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.15)

    1.5
    (1.64)
    7.4%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Michael Geerts - Arthur Gea?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gea will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Geerts is ranked ATP: 274. Gea is ranked ATP: 309.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Michael Geerts
    Latest results of Arthur Gea
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Droguet T.2 : 0
    2Barranco Cosano J. (Alt)Martin Tiffon P. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Legout T. (Q)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    4Onclin G.Ficovich J. P. (5)2 : 0
    5Jacquet K. (4)Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    6Alvarez Varona N. (Q)Squire H.0 : 2
    7van Assche L.Vrbensky M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Blancaneaux G.Nagal S. (6)2 : 0
    9Trungelliti M. (8)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Dellavedova M. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    11Paris T. (WC)Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    12Janvier M. (Q)Cazaux A. (3)0 : 2
    13Hemery C. (7)Tabur C. (WC)0 : 2
    14Geerts M.Gea A. (WC)0 : 2
    15Martineau M.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    16Hsu Y. H.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Barranco Cosano J.2 : 0
    2Poullain L.Onclin G.0 : 2
    3Merida Aguilar D.Squire H.2 : 1
    4van Assche L.Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M. (8)Gakhov I.2 : 1
    6Kuzmanov D.Cazaux A. (3)2 : 0
    7Tabur C.Gea A.2 : 1
    8Vallejo D.Hsu Y. H.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Onclin G.0 : 2
    2Merida Aguilar D.van Assche L.2 : 0
    3Trungelliti M. (8)Kuzmanov D.2 : 1
    4Tabur C.Hsu Y. H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Onclin G.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    2Trungelliti M. (8)Tabur C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Merida Aguilar D.Trungelliti M. (8)1 : 2