Result
1:2
17/06/2025 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 17 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (40/58) | 74% (55/74) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 40% (16/40) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (19/74) | 31% (18/58) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 53% (24/45) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 36% (4/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (61/103) | 62% (71/114) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (43/114) | 41% (42/103) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (104/217) | 52% (113/217) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 88% (14/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (13/31) | 58% (18/31) |
Chances of winning
Michael Geerts
38% | Francesco Maestrelli
62% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Maestrelli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Michael Geerts - Francesco Maestrelli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(1.83) |
|
1.51 ↓
(1.83) |
6.6%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Michael Geerts - Francesco Maestrelli?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Francesco Maestrelli will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Geerts is ranked ATP: 272. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 248.
- Geerts has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Maestrelli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Geerts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Geerts won against Francesco Maestrelli?
Michael Geerts has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Francesco Maestrelli won against Michael Geerts?
Francesco Maestrelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Geerts - Francesco Maestrelli were as follows:
Latest results of Michael Geerts
Latest results of Francesco Maestrelli
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Kovalik J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Bondioli F. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Blancaneaux G. | van Assche L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Sakamoto R. (NG) | Guillen Meza A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Passaro F. (4) | Prihodko O. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fonio G. (Q) | Roca Batalla O. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Arnaboldi F. | Brancaccio R. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ymer E. (Q) | Wawrinka S. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Daniel T. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Geerts M. | Maestrelli F. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Rodriguez Taverna S. | Ramos A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Nijboer R. (Q) | Lajovic D. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Neumayer L. (7) | Travaglia S. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Rincon D. | Cecchinato M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Zeppieri G. (WC) | Napolitano S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | van Assche L. | Sakamoto R. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Passaro F. (4) | Roca Batalla O. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Brancaccio R. | Ymer E. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Moro Canas A. | Maestrelli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Ramos A. | Lajovic D. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Neumayer L. (7) | Rincon D. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Zeppieri G. | Pacheco Mendez R. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | van Assche L. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Passaro F. (4) | Ymer E. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Maestrelli F. | Lajovic D. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rincon D. | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Passaro F. (RET.) (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Lajovic D. (3) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Lajovic D. (3) | 2 : 0 |
