Michael Geerts vs Naoya Honda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Mallorca Challenger Men Michael Geerts - Naoya Honda
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
55%60%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (34/41)69% (36/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (18/34)57% (20/35)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
33% (17/52)17% (7/41)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (15/35)47% (16/34)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
69% (52/75)63% (55/87)
Return Points Won
37% (32/87)31% (23/75)
Total Points Won
52% (84/162)48% (78/162)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Michael Geerts
67.3%
Naoya Honda
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Naoya Honda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoya Honda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Michael Geerts - Naoya Honda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.33)

    2.85
    (3.15)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Geerts is ranked ATP: 311. Honda is ranked ATP: 823.
    • Recent performances by Geerts have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Honda is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Geerts is considered a favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Michael Geerts
    Latest results of Naoya Honda
    25.08.2025 Naoya Honda - Laurent Lokoli Lokoli L. retired
    24.07.2025 Naoya Honda - Amit Vales 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Virtanen O. (1)Stewart H. (Q)0 : 2
    2Shelbayh A. (WC)Rincon D. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Coulibaly E. (Alt)Gengel M.2 : 1
    4Tobon M. (JR)Hemery C. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    5Mayot H. (3)Loffhagen G.2 : 0
    6Huesler M. (RET.)Soriano Barrera A. (LL)1 : 1
    7Parker S. (Q)Echeverria J. (WC)2 : 1
    8Paul J. (Q)Hassan B. (6)2 : 0
    9Masur D. (Q)Purtseladze S.2 : 0
    10Gombos N.Barroso Campos A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Engel J.Ivanov I. (WC)2 : 0
    12Martineau M. (Alt)Rodionov J. (4)1 : 2
    13Gueymard Wayenburg S. (7)Peniston R.2 : 0
    14Butvilas E.Geerts M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Cina F.Hara Friend J. D. (CO)0 : 2
    16Vacherot V.Landaluce M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Stewart H.Rincon D.1 : 2
    2Coulibaly E.Tobon M.0 : 2
    3Mayot H. (3)Soriano Barrera A.2 : 0
    4Parker S.Paul J.2 : 0
    5Masur D.Barroso Campos A.2 : 0
    6Engel J.Rodionov J. (4)0 : 2
    7Gueymard Wayenburg S. (7)Butvilas E.0 : 2
    8Hara Friend J. D.Vacherot V.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Rincon D.Tobon M.2 : 1
    2Mayot H. (3)Parker S. (RET.)1 : 1
    3Masur D.Rodionov J. (4)1 : 2
    4Butvilas E.Hara Friend J. D.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rincon D.Mayot H. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    2Rodionov J. (4)Butvilas E.2 : 1

    Final
    1Rincon D.Rodionov J. (4)2 : 0