Michael Holt vs Jiang Jun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
07/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • German Masters - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Michael Holt
43.6%
Jiang Jun
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 60%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Holt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Jiang Jun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Holt than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiang Jun than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Michael Holt - Jiang Jun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.23)

    1.67
    (1.63)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Holt is ranked World Ranking: 61. Jun is ranked World Ranking: 84.
    • Holt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jun is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Jun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Jun will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Michael Holt
    10.12.2025 Michael Holt - Ashley Hugill 43:39
    30.11.2025 Wu Yize - Michael Holt 6:4
    26.11.2025 Sijun Yuan - Michael Holt 3:6
    Latest results of Jiang Jun
    06.01.2026 Jiang Jun - Umut Dikme 5:1
    19.12.2025 Jiang Jun - Matthew Selt 2:5
    17.12.2025 Jiang Jun - David Gilbert 4:3
    16.12.2025 Barry Hawkins - Jiang Jun 0:4
    Draw
    Main

    1/16-finals
    1Wilson K.McGill A.5 : 1
    2Hawkins B.Zhang A.2 : 5
    3Yang G.Allen M.3 : 5
    4Leclercq J.Murphy S.1 : 5
    5Williams M.Robertson J.3 : 5
    6Brown J.Jones Jak0 : 5
    7Slessor E.Chadha I.3 : 5
    8Pang J.Robertson N.2 : 5
    9Trump J.Day R.5 : 0
    10Si JiahuiGilbert D.5 : 4
    11Lisowski J.Xiao G.1 : 5
    12Zhou Y.Higgins J.3 : 5
    13Selby M.Si X.4 : 5
    14O'Sullivan R.Carter A.3 : 5
    15Bingham S.Donaldson S.5 : 2
    16Ford T.Zhao X.5 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Wilson K.Zhang A.5 : 2
    2Allen M.Murphy S.0 : 5
    3Robertson J.Jones Jak5 : 2
    4Chadha I.Robertson N.0 : 5
    5Trump J.Si Jiahui5 : 2
    6Xiao G.Higgins J.5 : 3
    7Si X.Carter A.0 : 5
    8Bingham S.Ford T.5 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Wilson K.Murphy S.1 : 5
    2Robertson J.Robertson N.1 : 5
    3Trump J.Xiao G.5 : 3
    4Carter A.Bingham S.5 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Murphy S.Robertson N.6 : 1
    2Trump J.Carter A.6 : 2

    Final
    1Murphy S.Trump J.4 : 10