Michael Van Gerwen vs Josh Rock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Darts World Matchplay Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock
Result
10:11
23/07/2025 at 17:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Matchplay - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo

Chances of winning


Michael Van Gerwen
33.7%
Josh Rock
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 63.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Van Gerwen's form might have worsened.
  • Josh Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Josh Rock's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josh Rock than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.29)

    1.43
    (1.59)
    6.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 18.50
  • What is the prediction for Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Rock will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rock: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 1 - 50%). Rock (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 8:11.
  • Preview Facts
    • Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Rock is ranked World Ranking: 17.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.
    • Recent performances by Van Gerwen have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rock is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rock will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Rock will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 5.2:4.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock 6:4
    03.10.2023 Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock 2:0
    14.05.2023 Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock 6:5
    07.05.2023 Josh Rock - Michael Van Gerwen 3:7
    23.04.2023 Josh Rock - Michael Van Gerwen 7:0
    Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
    Latest results of Josh Rock
    21.07.2025 Ross Smith - Josh Rock 5:10
    13.07.2025 Jonny Clayton - Josh Rock 6:2
    12.07.2025 Josh Rock - Justin Hood 6:1
    17.06.2025 Josh Rock - Owen Bates 6:3
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)van Veen G.8 : 10
    2Noppert D. (16)Menzies C.10 : 2
    3Aspinall N. (8)Nijman W.6 : 10
    4Wade J. (9)Cullen J.10 : 3
    5Bunting S. (4)Joyce R.10 : 8
    6Anderson G. (13)Woodhouse L.10 : 5
    7Clayton J. (5)Schindler M.10 : 7
    8Chisnall D. (12)De Decker M.7 : 10
    9Littler L. (2)Searle R.10 : 2
    10Wright P. (15)Wattimena J.8 : 10
    11Heta D. (7)Gilding A.10 : 12
    12Cross R. (10)van Duijvenbode D.8 : 10
    13van Gerwen M. (3)van Barneveld R.10 : 6
    14Smith R. (14)Rock J.5 : 10
    15Dobey C. (6)Pietreczko R.10 : 5
    16Price G. (11)Gurney D.10 : 7

    1/8-finals
    1van Veen G.Noppert D. (16)11 : 5
    2Nijman W.Wade J. (9)5 : 11
    3Bunting S. (4)Anderson G. (13)12 : 10
    4Clayton J. (5)De Decker M.11 : 8
    5Littler L. (2)Wattimena J.13 : 11
    6Gilding A.van Duijvenbode D.11 : 5
    7van Gerwen M. (3)Rock J.11 : 13
    8Dobey C. (6)Price G. (11)3 : 11

    Quarter-finals
    1van Veen G.Wade J. (9)13 : 16
    2Bunting S. (4)Clayton J. (5)7 : 16
    3Littler L. (2)Gilding A.16 : 14
    4Rock J.Price G. (11)16 : 11

    Semi-finals
    1Wade J. (9)Clayton J. (5)
    2Littler L. (2)Rock J.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2