Result
1:6
05/03/2026 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Night 5 - Quarter-finals
Chances of winning
Michael Van Gerwen
36.8% | Luke Humphries
63.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Van Gerwen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luke Humphries, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.49) |
|
1.49 ↓
(1.53) |
6.7%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
What is the prediction for Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Humphries will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:6.
Preview Facts
- Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 2.
- Van Gerwen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Humphries's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Humphries may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Humphries will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Humphries will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 136:152. (average 6.8:7.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Van Gerwen won against Luke Humphries?
Michael Van Gerwen has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luke Humphries won against Michael Van Gerwen?
Luke Humphries has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries were as follows:
14.09.2025
Luke Humphries
-
Michael Van Gerwen
5:10
08.05.2025
Michael Van Gerwen
-
Luke Humphries
4:6
24.04.2025
Luke Humphries
-
Michael Van Gerwen
6:4
20.03.2025
Luke Humphries
-
Michael Van Gerwen
4:6
06.02.2025
Michael Van Gerwen
-
Luke Humphries
5:6
Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
Latest results of Luke Humphries
Draw
Night 5Quarter-finals| 1 | van Gerwen M. | Humphries L. | 1 : 6 |
| 2 | van Veen G. | Clayton J. | 4 : 6 |
| 3 | Price G. | Bunting S. | 6 : 5 |
| 4 | Littler L. | Rock J. | 6 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Humphries L. | Clayton J. | 4 : 6 |
| 2 | Price G. | Littler L. | |
Final
