Luke Humphries vs Michael Van Gerwen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:6
26/03/2026 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Night 8 - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Luke Humphries
62.5%
Michael Van Gerwen
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Humphries that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Van Gerwen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.53)

    2.51
    (2.47)
    6.7%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
    Preview Facts
    • Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 3.
    • Humphries is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Van Gerwen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Humphries is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 147:132. (average 7.4:6.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen were as follows:
    05.03.2026 Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries 1:6
    14.09.2025 Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen 5:10
    08.05.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries 4:6
    24.04.2025 Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen 6:4
    20.03.2025 Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen 4:6
    Latest results of Luke Humphries
    Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
    Draw
    Night 8

    Quarter-finals
    1Clayton J.Rock J.3 : 6
    2Humphries L.van Gerwen M.3 : 6
    3Littler L.Bunting S.6 : 3
    4Price G.van Veen G.6 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rock J.van Gerwen M.
    2Littler L.Price G.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2