Luke Humphries vs Michael Van Gerwen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Darts World Series Finals Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen
Result
5:10
14/09/2025 at 07:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Series Finals - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
hungaryHungarySport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo

Chances of winning


Luke Humphries
51.6%
Michael Van Gerwen
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Humphries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luke Humphries's form might have worsened.
  • Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Van Gerwen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.52)

    2.05
    (2.56)
    -4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 16.50
  • What is the prediction for Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Humphries (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 10:8.
  • Preview Facts
    • Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 3.
    • Humphries has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Van Gerwen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Humphries may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Humphries might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 150:132. (average 7.5:6.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen were as follows:
    08.05.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries 4:6
    24.04.2025 Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen 6:4
    20.03.2025 Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen 4:6
    06.02.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries 5:6
    15.09.2024 Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen 9:10
    Latest results of Luke Humphries
    Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Bunting S. (1)Noppert D.4 : 6
    2Ratajski K.Rock J.3 : 6
    3De Decker M. (8)Clemens G.6 : 3
    4Heta D.Cullen J.6 : 1
    5Humphries L. (4)Wade J.6 : 5
    6Doets K.Wattimena J.6 : 5
    7Cross R. (5)Puha H.6 : 3
    8Nijman W.van Gerwen M.5 : 6
    9Littler L. (2)Whitlock S.6 : 4
    10Clayton J.Brandon J.6 : 0
    11Aspinall N. (7)Chisnall D.2 : 6
    12Tata J.Smith R.4 : 6
    13Price G. (3)Lauby D. Jr.6 : 1
    14Dekker C.van Barneveld R.5 : 6
    15Dobey C. (6)Woodhouse L.6 : 2
    16Menzies C.Wright P.6 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Noppert D.Rock J.0 : 6
    2De Decker M. (8)Heta D.6 : 4
    3Humphries L. (4)Doets K.6 : 4
    4Cross R. (5)van Gerwen M.5 : 6
    5Littler L. (2)Clayton J.6 : 4
    6Chisnall D.Smith R.4 : 6
    7Price G. (3)van Barneveld R.6 : 4
    8Dobey C. (6)Menzies C.6 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Rock J.De Decker M. (8)10 : 6
    2Humphries L. (4)van Gerwen M.5 : 10
    3Littler L. (2)Smith R.10 : 8
    4Price G. (3)Dobey C. (6)10 : 8

    Semi-finals
    1Rock J.van Gerwen M.6 : 11
    2Littler L. (2)Price G. (3)11 : 10

    Final
    1van Gerwen M.Littler L. (2)