Michael Van Gerwen vs Stephen Bunting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/04/2026 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Michael Van Gerwen
56.6%
Stephen Bunting
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Stephen Bunting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stephen Bunting than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stephen Bunting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.67)

    2.15
    (2.17)
    7%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
    Preview Facts
    • Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Bunting is ranked World Ranking: 9.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.
    • Van Gerwen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bunting is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bunting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 127:65. (average 6.4:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting were as follows:
    05.02.2026 Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen 2:6
    20.01.2026 Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting 6:4
    16.01.2026 Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting 6:4
    17.04.2025 Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen 6:5
    13.02.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Stephen Bunting 6:1
    Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
    Latest results of Stephen Bunting
    Draw
    Night 8

    Quarter-finals
    1Clayton J.Rock J.3 : 6
    2Humphries L.van Gerwen M.3 : 6
    3Littler L.Bunting S.6 : 3
    4Price G.van Veen G.6 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rock J.van Gerwen M.
    2Littler L.Price G.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2