Result
0:2
09/06/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon - Qualification, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 45% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 68% (17/25) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 47% (14/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 50% (3/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 62% (18/29) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 69% (11/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 75% (6/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (16/45) | 56% (31/55) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 64% (29/45) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (40/100) | 60% (60/100) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 75% (6/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Jakub Paul
65.2% | Michael Vrbensky
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Paul's performance.Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Vrbensky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Paul that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Vrbensky could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.73) |
|
2.67 ↑
(2) |
7.5%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky?
Users Predictions:
Jakub Paul will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paul is ranked ATP: 335. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 427.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Paul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jakub Paul won against Michael Vrbensky?
Jakub Paul has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Vrbensky won against Jakub Paul?
Michael Vrbensky has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky were as follows:
26.05.2023
Michael Vrbensky
-
Jakub Paul
2:0
16.05.2023
Michael Vrbensky
-
Jakub Paul
2:0
Latest results of Jakub Paul
Latest results of Michael Vrbensky
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (1) | Droguet T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Barranco Cosano J. (Alt) | Martin Tiffon P. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Legout T. (Q) | Poullain L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Onclin G. | Ficovich J. P. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Jacquet K. (4) | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Alvarez Varona N. (Q) | Squire H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | van Assche L. | Vrbensky M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Blancaneaux G. | Nagal S. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Trungelliti M. (8) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Gakhov I. | Dellavedova M. (RET.) (Q) | 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Paris T. (WC) | Kuzmanov D. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Janvier M. (Q) | Cazaux A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Hemery C. (7) | Tabur C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Geerts M. | Gea A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Martineau M. | Vallejo D. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Hsu Y. H. | Moller E. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (1) | Barranco Cosano J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Poullain L. | Onclin G. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Merida Aguilar D. | Squire H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | van Assche L. | Blancaneaux G. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. (8) | Gakhov I. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Kuzmanov D. | Cazaux A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Tabur C. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Vallejo D. | Hsu Y. H. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (1) | Onclin G. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Merida Aguilar D. | van Assche L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. (8) | Kuzmanov D. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tabur C. | Hsu Y. H. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Onclin G. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Trungelliti M. (8) | Tabur C. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Merida Aguilar D. | Trungelliti M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
