Jakub Paul vs Michael Vrbensky – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lyon Challenger Men Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky
Result
0:2
09/06/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
64%45%
1st Serve Points Won
38% (11/29)68% (17/25)
2nd Serve Points Won
31% (5/16)47% (14/30)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
40% (10/25)62% (18/29)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (16/30)69% (11/16)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
36% (16/45)56% (31/55)
Return Points Won
44% (24/55)64% (29/45)
Total Points Won
40% (40/100)60% (60/100)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
25% (2/8)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)75% (6/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Jakub Paul
65.2%
Michael Vrbensky
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Paul's performance.
  • Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Vrbensky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Paul that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Vrbensky could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.73)

    2.67
    (2)
    7.5%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky?
  • Users Predictions: Jakub Paul will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paul is ranked ATP: 335. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 427.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Paul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky were as follows:
    26.05.2023 Michael Vrbensky - Jakub Paul 2:0
    16.05.2023 Michael Vrbensky - Jakub Paul 2:0
    Latest results of Jakub Paul
    Latest results of Michael Vrbensky
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Droguet T.2 : 0
    2Barranco Cosano J. (Alt)Martin Tiffon P. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Legout T. (Q)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    4Onclin G.Ficovich J. P. (5)2 : 0
    5Jacquet K. (4)Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    6Alvarez Varona N. (Q)Squire H.0 : 2
    7van Assche L.Vrbensky M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Blancaneaux G.Nagal S. (6)2 : 0
    9Trungelliti M. (8)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Dellavedova M. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    11Paris T. (WC)Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    12Janvier M. (Q)Cazaux A. (3)0 : 2
    13Hemery C. (7)Tabur C. (WC)0 : 2
    14Geerts M.Gea A. (WC)0 : 2
    15Martineau M.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    16Hsu Y. H.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Barranco Cosano J.2 : 0
    2Poullain L.Onclin G.0 : 2
    3Merida Aguilar D.Squire H.2 : 1
    4van Assche L.Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M. (8)Gakhov I.2 : 1
    6Kuzmanov D.Cazaux A. (3)2 : 0
    7Tabur C.Gea A.2 : 1
    8Vallejo D.Hsu Y. H.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Onclin G.0 : 2
    2Merida Aguilar D.van Assche L.2 : 0
    3Trungelliti M. (8)Kuzmanov D.2 : 1
    4Tabur C.Hsu Y. H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Onclin G.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    2Trungelliti M. (8)Tabur C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Merida Aguilar D.Trungelliti M. (8)1 : 2