Result
0:2
09/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 54% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 90% (18/20) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 59% (10/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 50% (11/22) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 67% (12/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 63% (5/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (17/40) | 76% (28/37) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 57% (23/40) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (26/77) | 66% (51/77) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 100% (7/7) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 71% (5/7) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 86% (12/14) |
Chances of winning
Michael Vrbensky
34.8% | Jozef Kovalik
65.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Vrbensky's form might have worsened.Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jozef Kovalik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Michael Vrbensky - Jozef Kovalik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.27) |
|
1.42 ↓
(1.57) |
7%
(7.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Michael Vrbensky - Jozef Kovalik?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vrbensky will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kovalik will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovalik: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 630. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 552.
- Recent form of Vrbensky has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kovalik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kovalik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kovalik is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Kovalik will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Vrbensky won against Jozef Kovalik?
Michael Vrbensky has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jozef Kovalik won against Michael Vrbensky?
Jozef Kovalik has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Vrbensky - Jozef Kovalik were as follows:
Latest results of Michael Vrbensky
Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Michalski D. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pavlovic L. | Dedura D. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kuzmanov D. | Wazny A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Llamas Ruiz P. (PR) | Monteiro T. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Passaro F. (3) | Juszczak D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Gakhov I. | Squire H. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ymer E. | Diaz Acosta F. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Barton H. (Alt) | Burruchaga R. A. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (5) | Lange M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Rodriguez Taverna S. | Molleker R. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Blancaneaux G. | Bocchi L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Alt) | Galan D. E. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Choinski J. (7) | Sachko V. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Pereira T. | Paulson A. (RET.) (SE) | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Vrbensky M. (Q) | Kovalik J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Vatutin A. (Q) | Tirante T. A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Dedura D. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kuzmanov D. | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Passaro F. (3) | Squire H. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Diaz Acosta F. | Barton H. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (5) | Molleker R. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Blancaneaux G. | Galan D. E. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sachko V. | Pereira T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Kovalik J. | Tirante T. A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Squire H. | Diaz Acosta F. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (5) | Blancaneaux G. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Sachko V. | Tirante T. A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Diaz Acosta F. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blancaneaux G. | Tirante T. A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Tirante T. A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
