Michele Ribecai vs Koki Matsuda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 00:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
00
1st Serve Percentage
58%67%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (34/53)66% (42/64)
2nd Serve Points Won
66% (25/38)50% (16/32)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
34% (22/64)36% (19/53)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (16/32)34% (13/38)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)67% (4/6)
Winners
2518
Unforced Errors
3642
Net Points Won
62% (8/13)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
64% (58/91)59% (55/93)
Return Points Won
41% (38/93)36% (33/91)
Total Points Won
52% (96/184)48% (88/184)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
04
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Michele Ribecai
80.8%
Koki Matsuda
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michele Ribecai's performance.
  • Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Koki Matsuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michele Ribecai that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Koki Matsuda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Michele Ribecai - Koki Matsuda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.31)

    4.98
    (3.27)
    4.4%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ribecai is ranked ATP: 425. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 608.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Ribecai is the team to beat.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Koki Matsuda
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Weber A. (LL)2 : 0
    2Samrej K. (WC)Shiraishi H. (Q)2 : 0
    3Jones M.Colson T. (Q)0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H. (Q)Sun F. (8)1 : 2
    5Pacheco Mendez R. (4)Bertrand R.1 : 2
    6Fomin S.Tokuda R.2 : 1
    7Shimizu Y.Ichikawa T. (Q)2 : 1
    8Gengel M.Martin A. (7)2 : 0
    9Uchida K. (5)Denolly C.2 : 1
    10Matsuda K. (Q)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    11Sornlaksup P. (WC)Wu Tung-Lin0 : 2
    12Shin S.Noguchi R. (3)0 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (6)Moriya H. (Q)2 : 1
    14Chung H.Bax F.1 : 2
    15Trongcharoenchaikul W. (WC)Santillan A.1 : 2
    16Dellavedova M.Giustino L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Samrej K.2 : 0
    2Colson T.Sun F. (8)2 : 1
    3Bertrand R.Fomin S.0 : 2
    4Shimizu Y.Gengel M.1 : 2
    5Uchida K. (5)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    6Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (3)1 : 2
    7Schwaerzler J. J. (6)Bax F.2 : 1
    8Santillan A.Giustino L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Colson T.2 : 1
    2Fomin S.Gengel M.0 : 2
    3Sharipov M.Noguchi R. (3)0 : 2
    4Schwaerzler J. J. (WO.) (6)Giustino L. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Gengel M.0 : 2
    2Noguchi R. (3)Schwaerzler J. J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Gengel M.Noguchi R. (3)0 : 2