Michelle Li vs Beiwen Zhang – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Badminton BWF World Tour Hong Kong Open Women Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang
Result
2:1
12/09/2025 at 00:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BWF WORLD TOUR - WOMEN: Hong Kong Open - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Michelle Li
34.1%
Beiwen Zhang
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michelle Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michelle Li's form might have worsened.
  • Beiwen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beiwen Zhang's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michelle Li than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michelle Li, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beiwen Zhang than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beiwen Zhang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (1.91)

    1.52
    (1.8)
    -2.9%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Li is ranked BWF: 16. Zhang is ranked BWF: 25.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Li won 2.
    • Li is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Zhang has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Li won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang 0:2
    22.08.2024 Michelle Li - Beiwen Zhang Li M. retired
    Latest results of Michelle Li
    Latest results of Beiwen Zhang
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Wang Z. Y.Lo S. Y. H.2 : 0
    2Han Q. X.Nidaira N.0 : 2
    3Gao F. J.Blichfeldt M.2 : 1
    4Kjaersfeldt L. H.Ongbamrungphan B.2 : 0
    5Chochuwong Po.Opatniputh P.2 : 1
    6Li M.Suizu M.2 : 0
    7Sindhu P. V.Christophersen L.1 : 2
    8Buhrova P.Zhang B.1 : 2
    9Pai Yu P.Jakobsen J. D.0 : 2
    10Lin H. T.Katethong S.2 : 1
    11Gunji R.Hsu W. Ch.2 : 0
    12Upadhyaya A.Miyazaki T.1 : 2
    13Chiu P.Schulz A.2 : 0
    14Santhosh Ramraj R. S.Intanon R.0 : 2
    15Zhang W. Y.Letshanaa K.2 : 0
    16Choeikeewong P.Han Y.0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Wang Z. Y.Nidaira N.2 : 0
    2Gao F. J.Kjaersfeldt L. H.2 : 1
    3Chochuwong Po.Li M.1 : 2
    4Christophersen L.Zhang B.0 : 2
    5Jakobsen J. D.Lin H. T.0 : 2
    6Gunji R.Miyazaki T.0 : 2
    7Chiu P.Intanon R.0 : 2
    8Zhang W. Y.Han Y.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Wang Z. Y.Gao F. J.2 : 1
    2Li M.Zhang B.2 : 1
    3Lin H. T.Miyazaki T.2 : 1
    4Intanon R.Han Y.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Wang Z. Y.Li M.2 : 0
    2Lin H. T.Han Y.1 : 2

    Final
    1Wang Z. Y.Han Y.2 : 0