Michiel De Krom vs Stefan Palosi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
74%73%
1st serve points won
69% (42/61)69% (52/75)
2nd serve points won
52% (11/21)46% (13/28)
Break Points Saved
6/97/10
1st return points won
31% (23/75)31% (19/61)
2nd return points won
54% (15/28)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
3/103/9
Winners
1543
Unforced errors
2355
Net points won
29% (2/7)67% (12/18)
Service Points Won
65% (53/82)63% (65/103)
Return Points Won
37% (38/103)35% (29/82)
Total Points Won
49% (91/185)51% (94/185)
Last 10 balls
010
Match points saved
01
Service games won
79% (11/14)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)21% (3/14)
Total games won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Michiel De Krom
39.1%
Stefan Palosi
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Stefan Palosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michiel De Krom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Palosi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefan Palosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Michiel De Krom - Stefan Palosi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.24)

    1.53
    (1.58)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • De Krom is ranked ATP: 688. Palosi is ranked ATP: 406.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • De Krom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Palosi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Michiel De Krom
    Latest results of Stefan Palosi