Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 penalties
06/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 1)

Chances of winning


Minnesota Golden Gophers
30.2%
Draw
22.3%
Michigan State Spartans
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 22.3% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 23.8% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota Golden Gophers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota Golden Gophers's form might have worsened.
  • Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michigan State Spartans's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Golden Gophers than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota Golden Gophers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michigan State Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.52)
    4.1
    (4.05)
    1.92
    (2.15)
    9.4%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 0.
    • Minnesota has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Michigan State is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Michigan State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Michigan State has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:55. (average 3.9:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 4.4:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans were as follows:
    05.03.2026 Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans 1:7
    24.01.2026 Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers 3:2
    23.01.2026 Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers 3:1
    25.01.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers 4:3
    24.01.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers 9:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesBentley Falcons5 : 1
    2Minnesota Duluth BulldogsPenn State Nittany Lions3 : 1
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks3 : 1
    4Denver PioneersCornell Big Red5 : 0
    5Michigan State SpartansConnecticut Huskies2 : 1
    6Dartmouth Big GreenWisconsin Badgers1 : 5
    7North Dakota Fighting HawksMerrimack Warriors3 : 0
    8Providence FriarsQuinnipiac Bobcats2 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesMinnesota Duluth Bulldogs4 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosDenver Pioneers2 : 6
    3Michigan State SpartansWisconsin Badgers3 : 4
    4North Dakota Fighting HawksQuinnipiac Bobcats5 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesDenver Pioneers
    2Wisconsin BadgersNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2