Result
4:2
10/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 16
- Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (382/471) | 84% (401/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (382/471) | 84% (401/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (95/147) | 73% (72/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | -1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Akale A. ⚽, Hansen M. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Tjornelund P. ⚽, Lausen A. (A),
- 31', 2 - 1, Brajanac M. ⚽, Gyamfi R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', Gyamfi R. ↓, Buus J. ↑,
- 60', Greve M. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 1, Brajanac M. (Pen),
- 62', Hansen M. ↓, Kakeeto R. ↑,
- 62', Wielzen J. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 2, Jensen L. ⚽, Pedersen S. (A),
- 66', Hansen M. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
- 66', Vigen L. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 67', 4 - 2, Brajanac M. (Pen),
- 72', Linnet J. 🟨,
- 75', Pedersen S. ↓, Boesen M. ↑,
- 81', Lausen A. ↓, Baldursson B. ↑,
- 82', Tjornelund P. ↓, Skipper A. ↑,
- 88', Villemoes J. ↓, Andersen E. ↑,
- 88', Akale A. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Esbjerg
57.8% | Draw
22.5% | Middelfart
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Esbjerg - Middelfart Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.73) |
4.11 ↑
(3.8) |
4.72 ↑
(4) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Esbjerg - Middelfart?
Users Predictions:
Esbjerg will win
(51 of 54 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.33% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esbjerg will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 5.
- Esbjerg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Middelfart has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Esbjerg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Esbjerg is the team to beat.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Middelfart?
Esbjerg has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middelfart won against Esbjerg?
Middelfart has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esbjerg - Middelfart were as follows:
02.08.2025
Middelfart
-
Esbjerg
0:1
25.01.2025
Esbjerg
-
Middelfart
3:0
24.05.2024
Middelfart
-
Esbjerg
0:2
18.04.2024
Esbjerg
-
Middelfart
5:2
12.11.2023
Esbjerg
-
Middelfart
1:0
Latest results of Esbjerg
Latest results of Middelfart
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby ✔ | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37:20 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hillerod ✔ | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
| 3 | Horsens | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 29 |
| 5 | Esbjerg | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 29 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | B.93 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22:30 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Hobro | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 11 | Koge | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18:33 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lyngby is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hillerod is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
