Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 38
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (461/548) | 73% (184/251) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (461/548) | 73% (184/251) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (193/259) | 64% (49/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/36) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Eile N. 🟨,
- 43', Pring C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Twine S. 🟨,
- 53', Morsy S. 🟨,
- 58', Armstrong S. 🟨,
- 59', McGree R. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
- 59', Sarmiento J. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Castledine L. ⚽,
- 67', Armstrong S. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
- 72', Hackney H. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
- 78', Twine S. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
- 82', Morsy S. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
- 88', Conway T. 🟨,
- 90', Conway T. ↓, Edmundson G. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Randell A. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
66.1% | Draw
19.6% | Bristol City
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Middlesbrough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Middlesbrough - Bristol City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.64) |
4.81 ↑
(4.14) |
6.63 ↑
(4.92) |
6.1%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Bristol City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Middlesbrough (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 0.
- Recent performances by Middlesbrough have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bristol City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Middlesbrough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Middlesbrough is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Injury)
Jones A.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silvera S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R.
(Ankle Injury)
Dickie R.
(Hamstring Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
Williams J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Bristol City?
Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Middlesbrough?
Bristol City has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Bristol City were as follows:
20.12.2025
Bristol City
-
Middlesbrough
2:0
21.02.2025
Bristol City
-
Middlesbrough
2:1
19.10.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Bristol City
0:2
10.02.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Bristol City
1:2
25.11.2023
Bristol City
-
Middlesbrough
3:2
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Bristol City
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry ✔ | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton ✔ | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd ✔ | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester ✔ | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
Leicester is Relegated to League One
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
