Surrey vs Middlesex – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
134:130
03/06/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vitality Blast
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox Sports Cricket
canadaCanadaWillow TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Cricket, Sky Sports Main Event
usaUsaWillow TV

Chances of winning


Surrey
70.6%
Middlesex
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Surrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Middlesex has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surrey than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Surrey that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesex than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Middlesex could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Surrey - Middlesex Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.43)

    3.13
    (2.77)
    6%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 342.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 5.
    • Surrey has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Middlesex has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Middlesex has had a series of home games.
    • Surrey will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Surrey won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4534:4268. (average 226.7:213.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Surrey won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2202:2269. (average 244.7:252.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Surrey - Middlesex were as follows:
    24.05.2026 Middlesex - Surrey 143:144
    16.07.2025 Middlesex - Surrey 181:189
    20.06.2025 Surrey - Middlesex 194:119
    05.07.2024 Surrey - Middlesex Abandoned
    20.06.2024 Middlesex - Surrey Surrey won by 56 runs.
    Latest results of Surrey
    31.05.2026 Surrey - Kent 116:118
    29.05.2026 Hampshire - Surrey 178:174
    24.05.2026 Middlesex - Surrey 143:144
    22.05.2026 Surrey - Lancashire 213:154
    15.05.2026 Yorkshire - Surrey 486/10
    Latest results of Middlesex
    31.05.2026 Middlesex - Hampshire 126:130
    30.05.2026 Sussex - Middlesex 182:213
    24.05.2026 Middlesex - Surrey 143:144
    22.05.2026 Middlesex - Kent 181:208
    15.05.2026 Middlesex - Derbyshire 188:376
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Lancashire (1)Kent (4)156 : 153
    2Somerset (2)Warwickshire / Birmingham Bears (3)191 : 190
    3Durham (2)Hampshire (3)195 : 221
    4Surrey (1)Northamptonshire (4)147 : 154

    Semi-finals
    1Lancashire (1)Somerset (2)159 : 182
    2Hampshire (3)Northamptonshire (4)155 : 158

    Final
    1Somerset (2)Hampshire (3)195 : 194