Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 11
- Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (429/529) | 78% (267/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (429/529) | 78% (267/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 54% (37/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (103/154) | 44% (26/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Delaney T. ↓, Madsen M. ↑,
- 18', 0 - 1, Franculino ⚽, Billing P. (A),
- 30', Mbabu K. ↓, Erlic M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
- 46', Castillo D. ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
- 46', Robert ↓, Achouri E. ↑,
- 53', Franculino 🟨,
- 59', Franculino ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 63', Hatzidiakos P. ↓, Garananga M. ↑,
- 78', Lerager L. 🟨,
- 79', Madsen M. ↓, Moukoko Y. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Garananga M. ⚽, Larsson J. (A),
- 81', Osorio D. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
- 84', Junior Brumado 🟨,
- 90+8', Garananga M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Copenhagen
49.7% | Draw
26.1% | Midtjylland
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Copenhagen - Midtjylland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.77) |
3.6 ↓
(3.95) |
3.91 ↓
(4.1) |
6.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Copenhagen - Midtjylland?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Copenhagen: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Copenhagen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 1.
- In recent matches, Copenhagen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Midtjylland is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Copenhagen is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Copenhagen: Cornelius A.
(Injury)
Hojer O.
(Surgery)
Mattsson M.
(Knee Injury)
Moalem J.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Ejeheri O.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Copenhagen: Huescas R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Copenhagen won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Copenhagen won against Midtjylland?
Copenhagen has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Copenhagen?
Midtjylland has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Copenhagen - Midtjylland were as follows:
11.05.2025
Copenhagen
-
Midtjylland
1:1
17.04.2025
Midtjylland
-
Copenhagen
4:2
23.02.2025
Copenhagen
-
Midtjylland
1:0
14.09.2024
Midtjylland
-
Copenhagen
2:1
16.05.2024
Copenhagen
-
Midtjylland
1:2
Latest results of Copenhagen
Latest results of Midtjylland
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27:13 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 35:15 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Brondby | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Copenhagen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:18 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 6 | Silkeborg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 21:26 | -5 | 17 |
| 7 | Randers FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Sonderjyske | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Odense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:29 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | Viborg | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Fredericia | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 11 |
| 12 | Vejle | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
