Result
 
                    0:4
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        26/10/2025 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Superliga - Round 13
- Referee: Funder S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Croatia | SportKlub 5 | 
|  Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X | 
|  Slovenia | SportKlub 4 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.15 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 32% | 68% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 20 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 10 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (188/262) | 86% (476/554) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.15 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.41 | 3.81 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 20 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 10 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 14 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 12 | 32 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (188/262) | 86% (476/554) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 33% (18/54) | 65% (39/60) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 59% (64/108) | 70% (89/128) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 36% (8/22) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.47 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 22 | 21 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 6 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 67% (10/15) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 34 | 45 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 27 | 20 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 3.81 | 0.41 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.41 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 25', Simonsen E. 🟨, 
- 29', 0 - 1, Franculino ⚽, Castillo D. (A), 
- 34', 0 - 2, Cho Gue-Sung ⚽, Castillo D. (A), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Simsir A. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑, 
- 46', Franculino ↓, Junior Brumado ↑, 
- 46', Simonsen E. ↓, Mucolli A. ↑, 
- 50', 0 - 3, Gogorza M. ⚽, 
- 53', 0 - 4, Junior Brumado ⚽, Diao O. (A), 
- 61', Billing P. ↓, Bravo P. ↑, 
- 61', Osorio D. ↓, Mbabu K. ↑, 
- 61', Johannesen S. ↓, Madsen W. ↑, 
- 62', Crone S. 🟨, 
- 63', Marcussen G. ↓, Dall E. ↑, 
- 74', Pyndt A. ↓, Winther F. ↑, 
- 74', Jessen J. ↓, Pedersen K. ↑, 
- 80', Castillo D. ↓, Dani Silva ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Fredericia 13.5%
 | Draw 18.3%
 | Midtjylland 68.2%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Fredericia - Midtjylland Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 6.77 ↑ (6)
 | 5.09 ↑ (4.9)
 | 1.39 ↓ (1.47)
 | 6.4% (5.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Fredericia - Midtjylland?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            20 users predict this event. Fredericia will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 16 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 62.5% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Midtjylland will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 1.
- Fredericia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Midtjylland is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fredericia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fredericia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Midtjylland is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Fredericia: Kristjansson D. F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Chilufya E.
(Inactive)
Ejeheri O.
(Surgery)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 1.4:3.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Fredericia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Fredericia won against Midtjylland?
                    
                    
                        
                            Fredericia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Fredericia?
                    
                    
                        
                             Midtjylland has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Fredericia - Midtjylland were as follows:
                                                        
                                10.08.2025 
                                Midtjylland 
                                - 
                                Fredericia 
                                3:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                30.01.2024 
                                Midtjylland 
                                - 
                                Fredericia 
                                7:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Fredericia                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Midtjylland                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Aarhus | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27:13 | 14 | 30 | 
| 2 | Midtjylland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 35:15 | 20 | 28 | 
| 3 | Brondby | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 25 | 
| 4 | FC Copenhagen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 | 
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 | 
| 6 | Randers FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 17 | 
| 7 | Silkeborg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 21:26 | -5 | 17 | 
| 8 | Sonderjyske | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 | 
| 9 | Odense | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:33 | -12 | 15 | 
| 10 | Viborg | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 | 
| 11 | Fredericia | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 11 | 
| 12 | Vejle | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
      Superliga (Relegation Group: )