Result
0:4
26/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 13
- Referee: Funder S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (188/262) | 86% (476/554) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 3.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (188/262) | 86% (476/554) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/54) | 65% (39/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (64/108) | 70% (89/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.81 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 25', Simonsen E. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Franculino ⚽, Castillo D. (A),
- 34', 0 - 2, Cho Gue-Sung ⚽, Castillo D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Simsir A. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
- 46', Franculino ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
- 46', Simonsen E. ↓, Mucolli A. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 3, Gogorza M. ⚽,
- 53', 0 - 4, Junior Brumado ⚽, Diao O. (A),
- 61', Billing P. ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
- 61', Osorio D. ↓, Mbabu K. ↑,
- 61', Johannesen S. ↓, Madsen W. ↑,
- 62', Crone S. 🟨,
- 63', Marcussen G. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
- 74', Pyndt A. ↓, Winther F. ↑,
- 74', Jessen J. ↓, Pedersen K. ↑,
- 80', Castillo D. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
Chances of winning
Fredericia
13.5% | Draw
18.3% | Midtjylland
68.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Fredericia - Midtjylland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.77 ↑
(6) |
5.09 ↑
(4.9) |
1.39 ↓
(1.47) |
6.4%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Fredericia - Midtjylland?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Fredericia will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 16 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 62.5% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Fredericia (1.86) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Midtjylland will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Fredericia (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Midtjylland (votes: 14 - 93.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 1.
- Fredericia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Midtjylland is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fredericia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fredericia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Midtjylland is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Fredericia: Kristjansson D. F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Chilufya E.
(Inactive)
Ejeheri O.
(Surgery)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 1.4:3.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Fredericia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredericia won against Midtjylland?
Fredericia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Fredericia?
Midtjylland has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredericia - Midtjylland were as follows:
10.08.2025
Midtjylland
-
Fredericia
3:3
30.01.2024
Midtjylland
-
Fredericia
7:0
Latest results of Fredericia
Latest results of Midtjylland
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 46:23 | 23 | 50 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 58:23 | 35 | 46 |
| 3 | Sonderjyske | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Brondby | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 31:22 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | Viborg | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 33 |
| 6 | Nordsjaelland | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 31 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Odense | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 36:46 | -10 | 27 |
| 9 | Randers FC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 | Fredericia | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 30:49 | -19 | 24 |
| 11 | Silkeborg | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 12 | Vejle | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 26:45 | -19 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
