KuPS Kuopio vs Midtjylland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandKuPS TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.644.41
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
729
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
80% (248/310)88% (524/598)
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.644.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.222.47
Total shots
729
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
117
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
519
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
1069
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
89
Passes
80% (248/310)88% (524/598)
Long passes
33% (17/52)60% (29/48)
Passes in final third
59% (41/69)82% (248/302)
Crosses
18% (2/11)23% (8/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.412.86
Throw-ins
720
Fouls
98
Tackles
60% (9/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3541
Clearances
5116
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.471.22
Goals prevented
0.471.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Lotjonen A. 🟥,
  • 43', Pennanen P. , Ricardo P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Castillo D. , Franculino ,
  • 46', Voutilainen J. , Ruoppi O. ,
  • 46', Arifi D. , Oksanen J. ,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Junior Brumado (Pen),
  • 54', 0 - 2, Simsir A. , Chilufya E. (A),
  • 65', Junior Brumado , Etim F. ,
  • 65', Simsir A. , Djabi A. ,
  • 65', Bech Sorensen M. , Diao O. ,
  • 67', Pasanen S. , Seidu S. ,
  • 73', Gabriel A. , Mbabu K. ,
  • 77', Armah B. , Savolainen S. ,

Chances of winning


KuPS Kuopio
18.3%
Draw
24%
Midtjylland
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.8% 22.8% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 21.3% 64.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Midtjylland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KuPS Kuopio - Midtjylland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.53
    (5.3)
    4.15
    (3.91)
    1.67
    (1.48)
    2%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Midtjylland?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 15 - 34.9%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 23 - 53.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 38.6%68.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Midtjylland (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - KuPS (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Midtjylland (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.
    • KuPS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Midtjylland is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Midtjylland has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Midtjylland is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, KuPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - Midtjylland were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Midtjylland - KuPS Kuopio 4:0
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    24.08.2025 FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio 1:3
    21.08.2025 Midtjylland - KuPS Kuopio 4:0
    17.08.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Inter Turku 2:1
    14.08.2025 KuPS Kuopio - RFS 1:0
    09.08.2025 KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio 0:2
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
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    9FC Porto (5)Bye
    10Braga (6)Bye
    11Midtjylland (3)Bye
    12Betis (4)Bye
    13Freiburg (7)Bye
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lyon (1)Bye
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye