Miguel Damas vs Lilian Marmousez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
27/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
49%57%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (27/47)74% (31/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (22/49)44% (14/32)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
43% (18/42)43% (20/47)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (18/32)55% (27/49)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)42% (5/12)
Winners
2543
Unforced Errors
3229
Net Points Won
53% (8/15)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
51% (49/96)61% (45/74)
Return Points Won
39% (29/74)49% (47/96)
Total Points Won
46% (78/170)54% (92/170)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
58% (7/12)67% (8/12)
Return Games Won
33% (4/12)42% (5/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Miguel Damas
40.2%
Lilian Marmousez
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Damas's form might have worsened.
  • Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Damas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Miguel Damas - Lilian Marmousez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (1.87)

    1.56
    (1.86)
    5.8%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Miguel Damas - Lilian Marmousez?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Marmousez will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Damas: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Damas (votes: 2 - 50%). Marmousez (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Games - Damas (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 Games - Damas (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 Games - Damas (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Damas (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Marmousez (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Damas is ranked ATP: 328. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 355.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Damas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marmousez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Miguel Damas
    Latest results of Lilian Marmousez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (NG)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    3Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G. (SE)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Moller E. (3)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Michalski D.Curras Abasolo T. (Q)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    8Pereira T.Lopez Montagud C. (Q)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (7)Cretu C. (LL)2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Martin A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Vatutin A. (LL)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    12Elias G. (WC)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Kolar Z. (8)Damas M.1 : 2
    14Andreev A. (PR)Marmousez L. (Q)1 : 2
    15Sanchez Izquierdo N.Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    16Jianu F. C.Faria J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1
    2Santamarta Roig A.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Moller E. (3)Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Blancaneaux G.Lopez Montagud C.1 : 2
    5Giustino L. (RET.) (7)Martin A.0 : 1
    6Vatutin A.Rocha H. (4)2 : 0
    7Damas M.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Jover C.Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Moller E. (3)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Martin A.Vatutin A.2 : 0
    4Marmousez L.Jianu F. C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    2Martin A.Marmousez L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Moller E. (3)Martin A.2 : 0