Result
2:1
30/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Luis Potosi - Qualification, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 57% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (41/59) | 68% (47/69) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 53% (28/53) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/10 | 6/11 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (23/69) | 31% (18/59) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 47% (25/53) | 43% (23/54) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/11 | 3/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 64 | 52 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 70% (14/20) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (70/110) | 61% (74/122) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (48/122) | 36% (40/110) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (118/232) | 49% (114/232) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 44% (14/32) |
Chances of winning
Miguel Tobon
73.2% | Karl Poling
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miguel Tobon's performance.Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karl Poling might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Tobon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karl Poling could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.39) |
|
3.49 ↑
(2.73) |
7%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tobon will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Tobon is ranked ATP: 563. Poling is ranked ATP: 570.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tobon is the team to beat.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Miguel Tobon won against Karl Poling?
Miguel Tobon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karl Poling won against Miguel Tobon?
Karl Poling has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling were as follows:
Latest results of Miguel Tobon
Latest results of Karl Poling
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moreno De Alboran N. (PR) | Tobon M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Catry R. | Zhukayev B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Martin D. | Huesler M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ficovich J. P. (4) | Alves M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Marrero Curbelo I. (Q) | Delaney Ja. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Colson T. (Q) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Fenty A. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kozlov S. (7) | Magadan A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Soto M. | Orlov V. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Winegar T. (Q) | Alujas R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hernandez A. | Mejia N. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Napolitano S. (8) | Mena F. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Wiskandt M. | Zahraj P. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Denolly C. | McKennon M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Ayeni A. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Tobon M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zhukayev B. | Martin D. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ficovich J. P. (4) | Marrero Curbelo I. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Magadan A. | Soto M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Alujas R. | Mejia N. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Mena F. | Zahraj P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Denolly C. | Schoolkate T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Zhukayev B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ficovich J. P. (4) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Soto M. | Mejia N. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mena F. | Schoolkate T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mejia N. (3) | Schoolkate T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Mejia N. (3) | |
