Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 54% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (21/29) | 68% (17/25) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 57% (12/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 67% (6/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 28% (8/29) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 24% (5/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 0% (0/1) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (37/50) | 59% (27/46) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 26% (13/50) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (56/96) | 42% (40/96) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Miguel Tobon
56% | Luca Castagnola
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miguel Tobon's performance.Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castagnola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Miguel Tobon - Luca Castagnola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.97) |
|
2.23 ↑
(1.8) |
2.3%
(6.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Miguel Tobon - Luca Castagnola?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tobon (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Tobon is ranked ATP: 682. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 628.
- Tobon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castagnola's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Castagnola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Miguel Tobon won against Luca Castagnola?
Miguel Tobon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Miguel Tobon?
Luca Castagnola has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miguel Tobon - Luca Castagnola were as follows:
Latest results of Miguel Tobon
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
