Miguel Tobon vs Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Curitiba Challenger Men Miguel Tobon - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Result
1:2
14/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
86
1st Serve Percentage
54%67%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (38/66)72% (43/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (28/56)52% (15/29)
Break Points Saved
72% (13/18)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
28% (17/60)42% (28/66)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (14/29)50% (28/56)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)28% (5/18)
Service Points Won
54% (66/122)65% (58/89)
Return Points Won
35% (31/89)46% (56/122)
Total Points Won
46% (97/211)54% (114/211)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
39% (11/28)61% (17/28)

Chances of winning


Miguel Tobon
33.4%
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Tobon's form might have worsened.
  • Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Miguel Tobon - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.25)

    1.4
    (1.57)
    6.8%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tobon is ranked ATP: 599. Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 279.
    • Tobon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dellien Velasco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Dellien Velasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Dellien Velasco will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Dellien Velasco will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Miguel Tobon
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    2Collarini A.Soto M. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Tobon M. (Q)Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    4Reis Da Silva J.Barrios Vera T. (6)1 : 2
    5Dellien H. (4)Alves M. (Q)2 : 1
    6Thanos A. (Q)Dutra Da Silva D. (LL)0 : 2
    7Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Alt)Hernandez A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Schiessl J. E. (WC)Barrena A. (8)2 : 0
    9Burruchaga R. A. (5)Miguel L. (WC)2 : 0
    10Diaz Acosta F.Guillen Meza A.2 : 0
    11Sanchez Izquierdo N. (Alt)Bueno G.0 : 2
    12Kicker N. (Alt)Monteiro T. (9)1 : 2
    13Ficovich J. P. (7)Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    14Heide G. (Q)Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    15Ribeiro E. (WC)Boscardin Dias P. (Q)1 : 2
    16Rodriguez Taverna S.Tirante T. A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D.Soto M.2 : 0
    2Dellien Velasco M. A.Barrios Vera T. (6)0 : 2
    3Dellien H. (4)Dutra Da Silva D.0 : 2
    4Hernandez A.Schiessl J. E.1 : 2
    5Burruchaga R. A. (5)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    6Bueno G.Monteiro T. (9)2 : 0
    7Pacheco Mendez R.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    8Boscardin Dias P.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D.Barrios Vera T. (6)2 : 1
    2Dutra Da Silva D.Schiessl J. E.0 : 2
    3Burruchaga R. A. (5)Bueno G.2 : 0
    4Prado Angelo J. C.Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Vallejo D.Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    2Burruchaga R. A. (5)Boscardin Dias P.1 : 2

    Final
    1Vallejo D.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0