Mika Brunold vs Alex Knaff – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
66%73%
1st serve points won
75% (44/59)61% (54/88)
2nd serve points won
55% (17/31)44% (14/32)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)64% (9/14)
1st return points won
39% (34/88)25% (15/59)
2nd return points won
56% (18/32)45% (14/31)
Break Points Converted
36% (5/14)100% (2/2)
Winners
4219
Unforced errors
4342
Net points won
75% (9/12)57% (17/30)
Service Points Won
68% (61/90)57% (68/119)
Return Points Won
43% (51/119)32% (29/90)
Total Points Won
54% (112/209)46% (97/209)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
88% (14/16)71% (12/17)
Return games won
29% (5/17)13% (2/16)
Total games won
58% (19/33)42% (14/33)

Chances of winning


Mika Brunold
70.2%
Alex Knaff
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.1% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mika Brunold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Alex Knaff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Knaff than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Mika Brunold - Alex Knaff Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.41)

    3.1
    (2.75)
    6.9%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Brunold is ranked ATP: 461. Knaff is ranked ATP: 681.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Brunold may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Brunold is the team to beat.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mika Brunold
    Latest results of Alex Knaff
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2