Mikhail Kukushkin vs Tom Paris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis St Tropez Challenger Men Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Paris
Result
0:2
17/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
69%63%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (35/46)80% (40/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (11/21)45% (13/29)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
20% (10/50)24% (11/46)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (16/29)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
69% (46/67)67% (53/79)
Return Points Won
33% (26/79)31% (21/67)
Total Points Won
49% (72/146)51% (74/146)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Mikhail Kukushkin
55.9%
Tom Paris
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Tom Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tom Paris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Paris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.53)

    2.11
    (2.33)
    7.7%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 259. Paris is ranked ATP: 306.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Paris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kukushkin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mikhail Kukushkin
    Latest results of Tom Paris
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Landaluce M. (1)Bax F. (LL)2 : 0
    2Gombos N. (Alt)Gengel M. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Bertrand R. (WC)1 : 2
    4Engel J.Wawrinka S. (5)0 : 2
    5Herbert P. (3)Kukushkin M.1 : 2
    6Paris T. (Q)Barrere G. (WC)2 : 1
    7Added D. (Alt)Jacquet K.2 : 0
    8Vatutin A. (Q)Mayot H. (6)0 : 2
    9Droguet T. (8)Potenza L. (Q)2 : 0
    10Malige M. (WC)Mmoh M. (PR)2 : 0
    11Pacheco Mendez R. (Q)Donnet E. (Q)2 : 1
    12Echargui M.Blanchet U. (4)2 : 0
    13Lajal M. (7)Gueymard Wayenburg S.2 : 0
    14Molcan A. (Alt)Geerts M. (LL)2 : 0
    15Hilderbrand T. (Q)Grenier H.0 : 2
    16Butvilas E. (Alt)Gigante M. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Landaluce M. (1)Gengel M. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Bertrand R.Wawrinka S. (5)0 : 2
    3Kukushkin M.Paris T.0 : 2
    4Added D.Mayot H. (6)2 : 1
    5Droguet T. (8)Malige M.2 : 1
    6Pacheco Mendez R.Echargui M.0 : 2
    7Lajal M. (7)Molcan A. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Grenier H.Butvilas E.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Landaluce M. (1)Wawrinka S. (5)0 : 2
    2Paris T.Added D.0 : 2
    3Droguet T. (8)Echargui M.0 : 2
    4Lajal M. (7)Grenier H.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Wawrinka S. (5)Added D. (WO.)
    2Echargui M.Lajal M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Added D.Echargui M.0 : 2