Result
3:1
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 2.11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (3/21) | 4.17% (1/24) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.83% (23/24) | 90% (18/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.48 | 56.52 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 05:47, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 11:55, 1 - 0, Kukkonen M. (G), Jokirinne V. (A), Huttunen H. (A2)
- 14:13, 2 - 0, Paivarinta S. (G), Kukkonen M. (A), Wright C. (A2)
- 18:08, Ford C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:29, Ruuttu A. (2 min),
- 15:48, Alitalo V. (2 min),
- 18:39, 2 - 1, Olsen T. (G), Tammela J. (A),
- 19:49, 3 - 1, Rautiainen T. (G), Kukkonen M. (A),
Chances of winning
HPK
39.8% | Draw
24.1% | Mikkelin Jukurit
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikkelin Jukurit's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikkelin Jukurit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.16) |
3.85 ↑
(3.66) |
2.6 ↓
(3.11) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 3.
- HPK is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jukurit has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 58:59. (average 2.9:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 2.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Mikkelin Jukurit?
HPK has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mikkelin Jukurit won against HPK?
Mikkelin Jukurit has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit were as follows:
27.09.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
HPK
1:3
30.11.2024
HPK
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
3:0
10.09.2024
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
HPK
7:3
01.02.2024
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
HPK
7:1
19.12.2023
HPK
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
3:2
Latest results of Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
