Result
3:1
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 2.11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (3/21) | 4.17% (1/24) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.83% (23/24) | 90% (18/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.48 | 56.52 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 05:47, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 11:55, 1 - 0, Kukkonen M. (G), Jokirinne V. (A), Huttunen H. (A2)
- 14:13, 2 - 0, Paivarinta S. (G), Kukkonen M. (A), Wright C. (A2)
- 18:08, Ford C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:29, Ruuttu A. (2 min),
- 15:48, Alitalo V. (2 min),
- 18:39, 2 - 1, Olsen T. (G), Tammela J. (A),
- 19:49, 3 - 1, Rautiainen T. (G), Kukkonen M. (A),
Chances of winning
HPK
39.8% | Draw
24.1% | Mikkelin Jukurit
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikkelin Jukurit's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikkelin Jukurit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.16) |
3.85 ↑
(3.66) |
2.6 ↓
(3.11) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 3.
- HPK is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jukurit has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 58:59. (average 2.9:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 2.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Mikkelin Jukurit?
HPK has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mikkelin Jukurit won against HPK?
Mikkelin Jukurit has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit were as follows:
27.09.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
HPK
1:3
30.11.2024
HPK
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
3:0
10.09.2024
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
HPK
7:3
01.02.2024
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
HPK
7:1
19.12.2023
HPK
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
3:2
Latest results of Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
