Result
2:3
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.71 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.52% (2/21) | 23.08% (3/13) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 76.92% (10/13) | 90.48% (19/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 33 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (6/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 11 | 38 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 22.45 | 77.55 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 01:52, 1 - 0, Koivu A. (G),
- 03:06, Ford C. (2 min),
- 13:16, Tuhkala A. (2 min),
- 19:49, Addamo J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:01, Johansson K. (Penalty Shot),
- 10:07, 1 - 1, Smits A. (G), Ford C. (A), Piitulainen J. (A2)
- 13:43, Johansson K. (2 min),
- 15:48, 2 - 1, Reunanen T. (G), Teissala L. (A), Soderlund T. (A2)
- 17:43, Lehtonen S. (5 min),
- 17:43, Worge Kreu W. (5 min),
- 17:43, Lehtonen S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 11:15, 2 - 2, Olsen T. (G), Johansson K. (A), Addamo J. (A2)
- 13:37, Saari E. (2 min),
- 16:38, 2 - 3, Johansson K. (G), Sandvik V. (A), Horvath B. (A2)
Chances of winning
TPS
59.5% | Draw
20.9% | Mikkelin Jukurit
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TPS that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+4%)
TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.56) |
4.57 ↓
(5.1) |
4.9 ↑
(4.69) |
5.2%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Jukurit will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3.
- Recent form of TPS has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jukurit is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Jukurit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, TPS is the team to beat.
- We predict that Jukurit will win today's game, with odds of 4.31.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:53. (average 2.7:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 3.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Mikkelin Jukurit?
TPS has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mikkelin Jukurit won against TPS?
Mikkelin Jukurit has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit were as follows:
03.10.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
TPS
2:1
26.02.2025
TPS
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
5:3
21.12.2024
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
TPS
5:4
23.10.2024
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
TPS
2:4
20.09.2024
TPS
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
3:2
Latest results of Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
