Milan vs Bologna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Coppa Italia
Soccer Coppa Italia Milan - Bologna
Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Coppa Italia - Final
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
Milan - Bologna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.04
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
86% (425/497)88% (375/428)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.70
Total shots
711
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
07
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
86% (425/497)88% (375/428)
Long passes
43% (18/42)50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
55% (42/76)62% (58/94)
Crosses
33% (2/6)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.55
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1111
Tackles
46% (6/13)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4846
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.701.30
Goals prevented
0.701.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Tomori F. 🟨,
  • 43', Ferguson L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Pulisic C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Ndoye D. ⚽,
  • 57', Fabbian G. 🟨,
  • 62', Tomori F. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
  • 62', Jovic L. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
  • 62', Jimenez A. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
  • 69', Fabbian G. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
  • 69', Orsolini R. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
  • 74', Lucumi J. 🟨,
  • 76', Holm E. ↓, Calabria D. ↑,
  • 80', Ndoye D. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
  • 80', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
  • 87', Pulisic C. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
  • 88', Fofana Y. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Milan
39%		Draw
30.4%		Bologna
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 29.3% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 29.4% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
    •

    Milan - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.45 ↓
    (2.55)    		 3.16 ↓
    (3.27)    		 3.09 ↑
    (2.9)    		 4.8%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Milan - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - Milan (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Stadio Olimpico.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
    • Milan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bologna has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Milan: Bondo W. (Hip Injury) Emerson Royal (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Fofana Y. (Foot Injury) Tomori F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Bologna were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1
    27.02.2025 Bologna - Milan 2:1
    27.01.2024 Milan - Bologna 2:2
    21.08.2023 Bologna - Milan 0:2
    15.04.2023 Bologna - Milan 1:1
    Latest results of Milan
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺
    05.05.2025 Genoa - Milan 1:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Venezia - Milan 0:2 ✺
    23.04.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:3 ✺
    20.04.2025 Milan - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bologna
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Bologna - Juventus 1:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Udinese - Bologna 0:0 ✺
    24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Bologna - Inter Milan 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/64-finals
    1JuventusBye
    5CagliariBye
    6CarrareseCatania2 : 1
    7CremoneseBye
    8ByeBari
    9FiorentinaBye
    13TorinoBye
    14ByeCosenza
    15EmpoliBye
    16ByeCatanzaro
    17BolognaBye
    21MonzaBye
    22ByeSudtirol
    23VeneziaBye
    24ByeBrescia
    25AtalantaBye
    29VeronaBye
    30CesenaPadova3 : 1
    31FrosinoneBye
    32ByePisa
    33AC MilanBye
    37LecceBye
    38MantovaTorres2 : 1
    39SassuoloBye
    40ByeCittadella
    41AS RomaBye
    45GenoaBye
    46ByeReggiana
    47ComoBye
    48ByeSampdoria
    49LazioBye
    53NapoliBye
    54ByeModena
    55ParmaBye
    56ByePalermo
    57InterBye
    61UdineseBye
    62Juve StabiaAvellino1 : 3
    63SalernitanaBye
    64ByeSpezia

    1/32-finals
    1JuventusBye
    3CagliariCarrarese3 : 1
    4CremoneseBari2 : 1
    5FiorentinaBye
    7TorinoCosenza2 : 0
    8EmpoliCatanzaro4 : 1
    9BolognaBye
    11MonzaSudtirol1 : 0
    12VeneziaBrescia1 : 3
    13AtalantaBye
    15VeronaCesena1 : 2
    16FrosinonePisa0 : 3
    17AC MilanBye
    19LecceMantova2 : 1
    20SassuoloCittadella2 : 1
    21AS RomaBye
    23GenoaReggiana1 : 0
    24ComoSampdoria1 : 2
    25LazioBye
    27NapoliModena1 : 0
    28ParmaPalermo0 : 1
    29InterBye
    31UdineseAvellino4 : 0
    32SalernitanaSpezia4 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1JuventusBye
    2CagliariCremonese1 : 0
    3FiorentinaBye
    4TorinoEmpoli1 : 2
    5BolognaBye
    6MonzaBrescia3 : 1
    7AtalantaBye
    8CesenaPisa1 : 0
    9AC MilanBye
    10LecceSassuolo0 : 2
    11AS RomaBye
    12GenoaSampdoria1 : 2
    13LazioBye
    14NapoliPalermo5 : 0
    15InterBye
    16UdineseSalernitana3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1JuventusCagliari4 : 0
    2FiorentinaEmpoli2 : 3
    3BolognaMonza4 : 0
    4AtalantaCesena6 : 1
    5AC MilanSassuolo6 : 1
    6AS RomaSampdoria4 : 1
    7LazioNapoli3 : 1
    8InterUdinese2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1JuventusEmpoli1 : 2
    2BolognaAtalanta1 : 0
    3AC MilanAS Roma3 : 1
    4LazioInter0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1EmpoliBologna1 : 2, 0 : 3
    2AC MilanInter3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1BolognaAC Milan1 : 0
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