Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia - Final
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Angola | Z Sport 1 |
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | TLN, VIVA |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, DirecTV Sports |
 France | L'Equipe Live Foot |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | TVRI, Vidio |
 Iran | Aio Sport |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Canale 5, Infinity+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport, Sport+ |
 Kyrgyzstan | KTRK Sports |
 Maldives | ICE Sports, Medianet |
 Malta | TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
 Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (425/497) | 88% (375/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (425/497) | 88% (375/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (42/76) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Tomori F. 🟨,
- 43', Ferguson L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Pulisic C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 1, Ndoye D. ⚽,
- 57', Fabbian G. 🟨,
- 62', Tomori F. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
- 62', Jovic L. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
- 62', Jimenez A. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
- 69', Fabbian G. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
- 69', Orsolini R. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
- 74', Lucumi J. 🟨,
- 76', Holm E. ↓, Calabria D. ↑,
- 80', Ndoye D. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
- 80', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
- 87', Pulisic C. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
- 88', Fofana Y. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milan
39% | Draw
30.4% | Bologna
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Milan - Bologna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.55) |
3.16 ↓
(3.27) |
3.09 ↑
(2.9) |
4.8%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Milan - Bologna?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 66.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH 0 - Milan (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Stadio Olimpico.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
- Milan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bologna has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Milan: Bondo W.
(Hip Injury)
Emerson Royal
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Milan: Fofana Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tomori F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Bologna?
Milan has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Milan?
Bologna has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Bologna were as follows:
09.05.2025
Milan
-
Bologna
3:1
27.02.2025
Bologna
-
Milan
2:1
27.01.2024
Milan
-
Bologna
2:2
21.08.2023
Bologna
-
Milan
0:2
15.04.2023
Bologna
-
Milan
1:1
Latest results of Bologna
Draw
2025/261/64-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 5 | Parma | Bye | |
| 6 | Pescara | Rimini | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Spezia | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Sampdoria | |
| 9 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 13 | AC Milan | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Bari | |
| 15 | Lecce | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Juve Stabia | |
| 17 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 21 | Udinese | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Carrarese | |
| 23 | Cremonese | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Palermo | |
| 25 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 29 | Empoli | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Reggiana | |
| 31 | Genoa | Bye | |
| 32 | Padova | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Inter | Bye | |
| 37 | Audace Cerignola | Avellino | 1 : 0 |
| 38 | Verona | Bye | |
| 39 | Venezia | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Mantova | |
| 41 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 45 | Torino | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Modena | |
| 47 | Pisa | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Cesena | |
| 49 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 53 | Como | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Sudtirol | |
| 55 | Sassuolo | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Catanzaro | |
| 57 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 61 | Monza | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Frosinone | |
| 63 | Cagliari | Bye | |
| 64 | Entella | Ternana | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 3 | Parma | Pescara | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Spezia | Sampdoria | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 7 | AC Milan | Bari | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Lecce | Juve Stabia | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 11 | Udinese | Carrarese | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Cremonese | Palermo | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 15 | Empoli | Reggiana | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Genoa | L.R. Vicenza | 3 : 0 |
| 17 | Inter | Bye | |
| 19 | Audace Cerignola | Verona | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Venezia | Mantova | 4 : 0 |
| 21 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 23 | Torino | Modena | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Pisa | Cesena | 1 : 0 |
| 25 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 27 | Como | Sudtirol | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Sassuolo | Catanzaro | 1 : 0 |
| 29 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 31 | Monza | Frosinone | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Cagliari | Entella | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 2 | Parma | Spezia | |
| 3 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 4 | AC Milan | Lecce | |
| 5 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 6 | Udinese | Palermo | |
| 7 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 8 | Empoli | Genoa | |
| 9 | Inter | Bye | |
| 10 | Verona | Venezia | |
| 11 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 12 | Torino | Pisa | |
| 13 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 14 | Como | Sassuolo | |
| 15 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 16 | Frosinone | Cagliari | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
