Milan vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Coppa Italia
Football Coppa Italia Milan - Bologna
Result
0:1
14/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Coppa Italia - Final
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaParamount+
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaTLN, VIVA
chileChileDirecTV Sports
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, DirecTV Sports
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaTVRI, Vidio
iranIranAio Sport
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyCanale 5, Infinity+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Sport+
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanKTRK Sports
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenSport Bladet Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.04
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
86% (425/497)88% (375/428)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.70
Total shots
711
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
07
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
86% (425/497)88% (375/428)
Long passes
43% (18/42)50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
55% (42/76)62% (58/94)
Crosses
33% (2/6)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.55
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1111
Tackles
46% (6/13)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4846
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.701.30
Goals prevented
0.701.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Tomori F. 🟨,
  • 43', Ferguson L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Pulisic C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Ndoye D. ⚽,
  • 57', Fabbian G. 🟨,
  • 62', Tomori F. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
  • 62', Jovic L. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
  • 62', Jimenez A. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
  • 69', Fabbian G. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
  • 69', Orsolini R. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
  • 74', Lucumi J. 🟨,
  • 76', Holm E. ↓, Calabria D. ↑,
  • 80', Ndoye D. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
  • 80', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
  • 87', Pulisic C. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
  • 88', Fofana Y. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Milan
39%		Draw
30.4%		Bologna
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 29.3% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 29.4% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
    •

    Milan - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.45 ↓
    (2.55)    		 3.16 ↓
    (3.27)    		 3.09 ↑
    (2.9)    		 4.8%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Milan - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - Milan (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Stadio Olimpico.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
    • Milan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bologna has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Milan: Bondo W. (Hip Injury) Emerson Royal (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Fofana Y. (Foot Injury) Tomori F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Bologna were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1
    27.02.2025 Bologna - Milan 2:1
    27.01.2024 Milan - Bologna 2:2
    21.08.2023 Bologna - Milan 0:2
    15.04.2023 Bologna - Milan 1:1
    Latest results of Milan
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺
    05.05.2025 Genoa - Milan 1:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Venezia - Milan 0:2 ✺
    23.04.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:3 ✺
    20.04.2025 Milan - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bologna
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Bologna - Juventus 1:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Udinese - Bologna 0:0 ✺
    24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Bologna - Inter Milan 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1BolognaBye
    5ParmaBye
    6PescaraRimini1 : 0
    7SpeziaBye
    8ByeSampdoria
    9LazioBye
    13AC MilanBye
    14ByeBari
    15LecceBye
    16ByeJuve Stabia
    17JuventusBye
    21UdineseBye
    22ByeCarrarese
    23CremoneseBye
    24ByePalermo
    25AtalantaBye
    29EmpoliBye
    30ByeReggiana
    31GenoaBye
    32PadovaL.R. Vicenza0 : 2
    33InterBye
    37Audace CerignolaAvellino1 : 0
    38VeronaBye
    39VeneziaBye
    40ByeMantova
    41AS RomaBye
    45TorinoBye
    46ByeModena
    47PisaBye
    48ByeCesena
    49FiorentinaBye
    53ComoBye
    54ByeSudtirol
    55SassuoloBye
    56ByeCatanzaro
    57NapoliBye
    61MonzaBye
    62ByeFrosinone
    63CagliariBye
    64EntellaTernana4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1BolognaBye
    3ParmaPescara
    4SpeziaSampdoria
    5LazioBye
    7AC MilanBari
    8LecceJuve Stabia
    9JuventusBye
    11UdineseCarrarese
    12CremonesePalermo
    13AtalantaBye
    15EmpoliReggiana
    16GenoaL.R. Vicenza
    17InterBye
    19Audace CerignolaVerona
    20VeneziaMantova
    21AS RomaBye
    23TorinoModena
    24PisaCesena
    25FiorentinaBye
    27ComoSudtirol
    28SassuoloCatanzaro
    29NapoliBye
    31MonzaFrosinone
    32CagliariEntella

    1/16-finals
    1BolognaBye
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3LazioBye
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5JuventusBye
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7AtalantaBye
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9InterBye
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11AS RomaBye
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13FiorentinaBye
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15NapoliBye
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1BolognaTBD #2
    2LazioTBD #4
    3JuventusTBD #6
    4AtalantaTBD #8
    5InterTBD #10
    6AS RomaTBD #12
    7FiorentinaTBD #14
    8NapoliTBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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