Bologna vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna).

Serie A - Round 23
Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.45	2.62
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
2	7
Big chances
0	9
Corner kicks
5	0
Passes
88% (436/496)	84% (361/429)
Yellow cards
3	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.45	2.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.14	2.55
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked shots
2	1
Shots inside the box
7	10
Shots outside the box
6	0
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	9
Corner kicks
5	0
Touches in opposition box
28	20
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
10	14
Passes
88% (436/496)	84% (361/429)
Long passes
76% (51/67)	51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
80% (136/170)	78% (49/63)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.09
Throw ins
20	18
Fouls
14	10
Tackles
35% (6/17)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
47	44
Clearances
9	31
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
2.55	0.14
Goals prevented
-0.45	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Loftus-Cheek R. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Nkunku C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 3, Rabiot A. ⚽,
51', Ravaglia F. 🟨,
53', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
54', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
58', Freuler R. 🟨,
64', Ferguson L. 🟨,
65', Freuler R. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
67', Athekame Z. ↓, Tomori F. ↑,
67', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
72', Nkunku C. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
72', Modric L. ↓, Jashari A. ↑,
78', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
78', Miranda J. ↓, Lykogiannis C. ↑,
83', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Estupinan P. ↑,

Chances of winning

Bologna
30.9%

Draw
30.3%

Milan
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bologna - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.49)	3.17 ↓ (3.49)	2.47 ↑ (2.09)	4.2% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bologna - Milan?

Users Predictions: 84 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 6%). Milan will win (votes: 62 - 73.8%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 20.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 64.4% – 83.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Bologna (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Milan (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Milan (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Milan (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 54 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 3.7%). Milan (votes: 44 - 81.5%). Tie (votes: 8 - 14.8%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2.
In recent matches, Bologna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Milan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Holm E. (Inactive) Lucumi J. (Injury) Skorupski L. (Red Card)
There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Pulisic C. (Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 0.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Milan?

Bologna has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Bologna?

Milan has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Milan were as follows:

14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0

14.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 0:1

09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1

27.02.2025 Bologna - Milan 2:1

27.01.2024 Milan - Bologna 2:2

Latest results of Bologna

29.01.2026 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna 0:3 ✺

25.01.2026 Genoa - Bologna 3:2 ✺

22.01.2026 Bologna - Celtic 2:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

15.01.2026 Verona - Bologna 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Milan

25.01.2026 Roma - Milan 1:1 ✺

18.01.2026 Milan - Lecce 1:0 ✺

15.01.2026 Como - Milan 1:3 ✺

11.01.2026 Fiorentina - Milan 1:1 ✺

08.01.2026 Milan - Genoa 1:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	31	23	3	5	71:26	45	72
2	Napoli	31	20	5	6	47:30	17	65
3	AC Milan	31	18	9	4	47:24	23	63
4	Como	31	16	10	5	53:22	31	58
5	Juventus	31	16	9	6	54:29	25	57
6	AS Roma	31	17	3	11	42:28	14	54
7	Atalanta	31	14	11	6	44:27	17	53
8	Bologna	31	13	6	12	40:37	3	45
9	Lazio	31	11	11	9	32:29	3	44
10	Sassuolo	31	12	6	13	38:41	-3	42
11	Udinese	31	11	7	13	35:42	-7	40
12	Torino	31	10	6	15	35:53	-18	36
13	Parma	31	8	11	12	22:39	-17	35
14	Genoa	31	8	9	14	36:44	-8	33
15	Fiorentina	31	7	11	13	36:44	-8	32
16	Cagliari	31	7	9	15	32:44	-12	30
17	Cremonese	31	6	9	16	26:46	-20	27
18	Lecce	31	7	6	18	21:43	-22	27
19	Verona	31	3	9	19	22:53	-31	18
20	Pisa	31	2	12	17	23:55	-32	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B