Milan vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Milan - Bologna
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 3
  • Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chinaChinaMigu
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.17
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
86% (287/335)87% (453/521)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.00
Total shots
145
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
40
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
86% (287/335)87% (453/521)
Long passes
52% (17/33)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
74% (63/85)76% (78/102)
Crosses
21% (3/14)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.24
Throw-ins
1812
Fouls
1716
Tackles
79% (11/14)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4547
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
13
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.88
Goals prevented
0.00-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Estupinan P. 🟨,
  • 18', Tomori F. 🟨,
  • 45', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pavlovic S. , De Winter K. ,
  • 56', Maignan M. , Terracciano P. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Modric L. , Saelemaekers A. (A),
  • 62', Lykogiannis C. , Miranda J. ,
  • 63', Fabbian G. , Bernardeschi F. ,
  • 65', Loftus-Cheek R. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 65', Fofana Y. , Ricci S. ,
  • 73', Miranda J. 🟨,
  • 74', Orsolini R. , Odgaard J. ,
  • 74', Cambiaghi N. , Rowe J. ,
  • 83', Castro S. , Dallinga T. ,
  • 85', Gimenez S. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 86', Skorupski L. 🟨,
  • 90', Allegri M. 🟥,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Milan
51.5%
Draw
27.2%
Bologna
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.1% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 27.1% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Milan - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.92)
    3.54
    (3.53)
    4.41
    (4.16)
    4.5%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Milan - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: Milan will win (57 of 69 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.67%91.55%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Milan is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Milan: Jashari A. (Calf Injury) Leao R. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Pobega T. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bologna: Casale N. (Thigh Injury) Holm E. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Bologna were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 0:1
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1
    27.02.2025 Bologna - Milan 2:1
    27.01.2024 Milan - Bologna 2:2
    21.08.2023 Bologna - Milan 0:2
    Latest results of Milan
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    23.08.2025 Milan - Cremonese 1:2
    17.08.2025 Milan - Bari 2:0
    10.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1
    09.08.2025 Leeds United - Milan 1:1
    Latest results of Bologna
    30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0
    23.08.2025 Roma - Bologna 1:0
    16.08.2025 Bologna - OFI 2:4
    09.08.2025 Stuttgart - Bologna 0:1
    02.08.2025 Bologna - Levadiakos 3:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli44009:3612
    2Juventus43108:4410
    3AC Milan43017:259
    4AS Roma43013:129
    5Atalanta42209:368
    6Cremonese42205:328
    7Cagliari42115:327
    8Como42115:327
    9Udinese42114:5-17
    10Inter420211:746
    11Bologna42023:306
    12Torino41121:8-74
    13Lazio41034:403
    14Sassuolo41034:7-33
    15Verona40312:6-43
    16Genoa40222:4-22
    17Fiorentina40223:6-32
    18Parma40221:5-42
    19Pisa40133:6-31
    20Lecce40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B