Result
0:3
23/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia - Semi-finals
- Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (434/486) | 86% (333/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (434/486) | 86% (333/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (19/30) | 50% (18/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (103/134) | 67% (62/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.81 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Jovic L. ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 2, Jovic L. ⚽,
- 53', Dimarco F. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
- 53', Taremi M. ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
- 53', Asllani K. ↓, Calhanoglu H. ↑,
- 53', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
- 59', Gabbia M. ↓, Thiaw M. ↑,
- 71', Calhanoglu H. 🟨,
- 78', Jovic L. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
- 78', Pulisic C. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
- 83', Darmian M. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 3, Reijnders T. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
- 87', Reijnders T. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
- 88', Hernandez T. ↓, Bartesaghi D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Inter Milan
43.8% | Draw
28.1% | Milan
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Inter Milan - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.78) |
3.38 ↓
(3.81) |
3.39 ↓
(4.47) |
5.5%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Milan?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Milan will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 32.4% – 71.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 2 - 50%). Milan (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Inter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Inter will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Inter: Carboni V.
(Knee Injury)
Dumfries D.
(Thigh Injury)
Thuram M.
(Muscle Injury)
Zielinski P.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal
(Calf Injury)
Loftus-Cheek R.
(Surgery)
Walker K.
(Elbow Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Inter won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 38:20 (average 1.9:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:13 (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Milan?
Inter Milan has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Inter Milan?
Milan has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Milan were as follows:
02.04.2025
Milan
-
Inter Milan
1:1
02.02.2025
Milan
-
Inter Milan
1:1
06.01.2025
Inter Milan
-
Milan
2:3
22.09.2024
Inter Milan
-
Milan
1:2
22.04.2024
Milan
-
Inter Milan
1:2
Latest results of Inter Milan
Draw
2024/251/64-finals| 1 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 5 | Cagliari | Bye | |
| 6 | Carrarese | Catania | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Cremonese | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Bari | |
| 9 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 13 | Torino | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Cosenza | |
| 15 | Empoli | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Catanzaro | |
| 17 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 21 | Monza | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Sudtirol | |
| 23 | Venezia | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Brescia | |
| 25 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 29 | Verona | Bye | |
| 30 | Cesena | Padova | 3 : 1 |
| 31 | Frosinone | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Pisa | |
| 33 | AC Milan | Bye | |
| 37 | Lecce | Bye | |
| 38 | Mantova | Torres | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Sassuolo | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Cittadella | |
| 41 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 45 | Genoa | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Reggiana | |
| 47 | Como | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Sampdoria | |
| 49 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 53 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Modena | |
| 55 | Parma | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Palermo | |
| 57 | Inter | Bye | |
| 61 | Udinese | Bye | |
| 62 | Juve Stabia | Avellino | 1 : 3 |
| 63 | Salernitana | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Spezia | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 3 | Cagliari | Carrarese | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Cremonese | Bari | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 7 | Torino | Cosenza | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Empoli | Catanzaro | 4 : 1 |
| 9 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 11 | Monza | Sudtirol | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Venezia | Brescia | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 15 | Verona | Cesena | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Frosinone | Pisa | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | AC Milan | Bye | |
| 19 | Lecce | Mantova | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Sassuolo | Cittadella | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 23 | Genoa | Reggiana | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Como | Sampdoria | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 27 | Napoli | Modena | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Parma | Palermo | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Inter | Bye | |
| 31 | Udinese | Avellino | 4 : 0 |
| 32 | Salernitana | Spezia | 4 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 2 | Cagliari | Cremonese | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 4 | Torino | Empoli | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 6 | Monza | Brescia | 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 8 | Cesena | Pisa | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | AC Milan | Bye | |
| 10 | Lecce | Sassuolo | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 12 | Genoa | Sampdoria | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 14 | Napoli | Palermo | 5 : 0 |
| 15 | Inter | Bye | |
| 16 | Udinese | Salernitana | 3 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Juventus | Cagliari | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | Empoli | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Bologna | Monza | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta | Cesena | 6 : 1 |
| 5 | AC Milan | Sassuolo | 6 : 1 |
| 6 | AS Roma | Sampdoria | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Lazio | Napoli | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Inter | Udinese | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Juventus | Empoli | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bologna | Atalanta | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AC Milan | AS Roma | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Lazio | Inter | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Empoli | Bologna | 1 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 2 | AC Milan | Inter | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
