Milan vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 28
  • Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, Sporty TV App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.771.23
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
22
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
16
Passes
86% (328/383)90% (570/632)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.771.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.360.38
Total shots
911
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1527
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
128
Passes
86% (328/383)90% (570/632)
Long passes
46% (18/39)66% (29/44)
Passes in final third
59% (42/71)86% (195/228)
Crosses
33% (2/6)16% (5/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.16
Throw ins
815
Fouls
812
Tackles
50% (7/14)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4028
Clearances
3212
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.380.36
Goals prevented
0.38-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Estupinan P. , Fofana Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Mkhitaryan H. , Sucic P. ,
  • 59', Luis Henrique , Dumfries D. ,
  • 65', Bastoni A. 🟨,
  • 68', Bastoni A. , Carlos Augusto ,
  • 68', Barella N. , Frattesi D. ,
  • 69', Dumfries D. 🟨,
  • 73', Leao R. , Fullkrug N. ,
  • 73', Fofana Y. , Ricci S. ,
  • 80', Bisseck Y. , Diouf A. ,
  • 80', Rabiot A. 🟨,
  • 84', Pulisic C. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 89', Modric L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Milan
29.6%
Draw
30%
Inter Milan
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 31.4% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 31.3% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Milan - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (3.74)
    3.22
    (3.03)
    2.38
    (2.2)
    4.2%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Milan - Inter Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 14 - 26.9%). Inter will win (votes: 13 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 48.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.5%61.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Inter (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Milan (1.81) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Milan (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Inter (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.
    • Milan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Inter's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Inter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Inter might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Milan: Gabbia M. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Broken jawbone)
    • There will not play in Inter: Martinez L. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter: Thuram M. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Inter Milan were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:1
    23.04.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:3
    02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1
    02.02.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1
    06.01.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 2:3
    Latest results of Milan
    01.03.2026 Cremonese - Milan 0:2
    22.02.2026 Milan - Parma 0:1
    18.02.2026 Milan - Como 1:1
    13.02.2026 Pisa - Milan 1:2
    03.02.2026 Bologna - Milan 0:3
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    03.03.2026 Como - Inter Milan 0:0
    28.02.2026 Inter Milan - Genoa 2:0
    24.02.2026 Inter Milan - Bodø Glimt 1:2
    21.02.2026 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:2
    18.02.2026 Bodø Glimt - Inter Milan 3:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter29222565:234268
    2AC Milan29179344:212360
    3Napoli29185645:301559
    4Como29159548:222654
    5Juventus29158651:282353
    6AS Roma291631039:231651
    7Atalanta291211640:271347
    8Bologna291261138:34442
    9Lazio291010929:28140
    10Sassuolo291151335:39-438
    11Udinese291061333:42-936
    12Parma298101121:36-1534
    13Genoa29891236:40-433
    14Torino29961432:50-1833
    15Cagliari29791331:41-1030
    16Fiorentina296101334:43-928
    17Lecce29761621:39-1827
    18Cremonese29591523:44-2124
    19Pisa292121523:49-2618
    20Verona29391722:51-2918

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B