Inter Milan vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Coppa Italia Inter Milan - Milan
Result
0:3
23/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Coppa Italia - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Meraj TV
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 2, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaParamount+
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, NSports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaTLN, VIVA
chileChileDirecTV Sports
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
franceFranceFree, L'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaTVRI, Vidio
irelandIrelandShabake 3
italyItalyCanale 5, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Sport+
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanKTRK Sports
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenSport Bladet Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 2
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.20
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
89% (434/486)86% (333/388)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.281.87
Total shots
168
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2924
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
97
Passes
89% (434/486)86% (333/388)
Long passes
63% (19/30)50% (18/36)
Passes in final third
77% (103/134)67% (62/93)
Crosses
28% (7/25)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.81
Fouls
79
Tackles
50% (12/24)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4039
Clearances Total
1235
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.870.28
Goals prevented
-1.130.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Jovic L. , Jimenez A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Jovic L. ,
  • 53', Dimarco F. , Zalewski N. ,
  • 53', Taremi M. , Arnautovic M. ,
  • 53', Asllani K. , Calhanoglu H. ,
  • 53', Barella N. , Frattesi D. ,
  • 59', Gabbia M. , Thiaw M. ,
  • 71', Calhanoglu H. 🟨,
  • 78', Jovic L. , Abraham T. ,
  • 78', Pulisic C. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 83', Darmian M. , Correa J. ,
  • 85', 0 - 3, Reijnders T. , Leao R. (A),
  • 87', Reijnders T. , Joao Felix ,
  • 88', Hernandez T. , Bartesaghi D. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
43.8%
Draw
28.1%
Milan
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 25% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 24.6% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.
  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Inter Milan - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.78)
    3.38
    (3.81)
    3.39
    (4.47)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Milan will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 32.4%71.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 2 - 50%). Milan (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Inter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Inter will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Dumfries D. (Thigh Injury) Thuram M. (Muscle Injury) Zielinski P. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal (Calf Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Surgery) Walker K. (Elbow Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Inter won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 38:20 (average 1.9:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:13 (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Milan were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1
    02.02.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1
    06.01.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 2:3
    22.09.2024 Inter Milan - Milan 1:2
    22.04.2024 Milan - Inter Milan 1:2
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    20.04.2025 Bologna - Inter Milan 1:0
    12.04.2025 Inter Milan - Cagliari 3:1
    05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2
    Latest results of Milan
    20.04.2025 Milan - Atalanta 0:1
    11.04.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:4
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2
    02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1
    30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/64-finals
    1JuventusBye
    5CagliariBye
    6CarrareseCatania2 : 1
    7CremoneseBye
    8ByeBari
    9FiorentinaBye
    13TorinoBye
    14ByeCosenza
    15EmpoliBye
    16ByeCatanzaro
    17BolognaBye
    21MonzaBye
    22ByeSudtirol
    23VeneziaBye
    24ByeBrescia
    25AtalantaBye
    29VeronaBye
    30CesenaPadova3 : 1
    31FrosinoneBye
    32ByePisa
    33AC MilanBye
    37LecceBye
    38MantovaTorres2 : 1
    39SassuoloBye
    40ByeCittadella
    41AS RomaBye
    45GenoaBye
    46ByeReggiana
    47ComoBye
    48ByeSampdoria
    49LazioBye
    53NapoliBye
    54ByeModena
    55ParmaBye
    56ByePalermo
    57InterBye
    61UdineseBye
    62Juve StabiaAvellino1 : 3
    63SalernitanaBye
    64ByeSpezia

    1/32-finals
    1JuventusBye
    3CagliariCarrarese3 : 1
    4CremoneseBari2 : 1
    5FiorentinaBye
    7TorinoCosenza2 : 0
    8EmpoliCatanzaro4 : 1
    9BolognaBye
    11MonzaSudtirol1 : 0
    12VeneziaBrescia1 : 3
    13AtalantaBye
    15VeronaCesena1 : 2
    16FrosinonePisa0 : 3
    17AC MilanBye
    19LecceMantova2 : 1
    20SassuoloCittadella2 : 1
    21AS RomaBye
    23GenoaReggiana1 : 0
    24ComoSampdoria1 : 2
    25LazioBye
    27NapoliModena1 : 0
    28ParmaPalermo0 : 1
    29InterBye
    31UdineseAvellino4 : 0
    32SalernitanaSpezia4 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1JuventusBye
    2CagliariCremonese1 : 0
    3FiorentinaBye
    4TorinoEmpoli1 : 2
    5BolognaBye
    6MonzaBrescia3 : 1
    7AtalantaBye
    8CesenaPisa1 : 0
    9AC MilanBye
    10LecceSassuolo0 : 2
    11AS RomaBye
    12GenoaSampdoria1 : 2
    13LazioBye
    14NapoliPalermo5 : 0
    15InterBye
    16UdineseSalernitana3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1JuventusCagliari4 : 0
    2FiorentinaEmpoli2 : 3
    3BolognaMonza4 : 0
    4AtalantaCesena6 : 1
    5AC MilanSassuolo6 : 1
    6AS RomaSampdoria4 : 1
    7LazioNapoli3 : 1
    8InterUdinese2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1JuventusEmpoli1 : 2
    2BolognaAtalanta1 : 0
    3AC MilanAS Roma3 : 1
    4LazioInter0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1EmpoliBologna1 : 2, 0 : 3
    2AC MilanInter3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1BolognaAC Milan1 : 0