Juventus vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Allianz Stadium (Turin).

Serie A - Round 6
Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport
Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	1.74
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	0
Passes
89% (420/473)	90% (419/468)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	1.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.63	1.29
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
7	7
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	0
Touches in opposition box
21	15
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	15
Passes
89% (420/473)	90% (419/468)
Long passes
41% (16/39)	68% (28/41)
Passes in final third
81% (101/124)	74% (60/81)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.74
Throw-ins
14	16
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
100% (5/5)	50% (4/8)
Duels won
25	38
Clearances
12	31
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.29	0.63
Goals prevented
1.29	0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Fofana Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Locatelli M. 🟨,
53', Pulisic C. (Pen),
59', Bartesaghi D. 🟨,
63', Gimenez S. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
63', Fofana Y. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
68', Conceicao F. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
68', Yildiz K. ↓, Vlahovic D. ↑,
68', David J. ↓, Thuram K. ↑,
74', Pulisic C. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
74', Gatti F. 🟨,
86', Rugani D. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Juventus
35%

Draw
29.9%

Milan
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

29.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventus's form might have worsened.

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juventus - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.37)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	2.73 ↓ (3.15)	4.4% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Juventus - Milan?

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Juventus will win (votes: 17 - 48.6%). Milan will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 34.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 32% – 65.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Juventus (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Milan (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Milan (1.93) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

DC - Juventus (1.45) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Juventus (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Juventus (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 32 high ROI users predict this event. Juventus (votes: 14 - 43.8%). Milan (votes: 11 - 34.4%). Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 2.
Recent performances by Juventus have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Milan is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Juventus: Cabal J. (Thigh Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Milan: Estupinan P. (Red Card) Jashari A. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Juventus: Bremer (Muscle Injury) Miretti F. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Juventus won against Milan?

Juventus has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Juventus?

Milan has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Juventus - Milan were as follows:

18.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 2:0

03.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 1:2

23.11.2024 Milan - Juventus 0:0

27.04.2024 Juventus - Milan 0:0

22.10.2023 Milan - Juventus 0:1

Latest results of Juventus

01.10.2025 Villarreal - Juventus 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Verona - Juventus 1:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Juventus - Borussia Dortmund 4:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Juventus - Inter Milan 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Milan

28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Milan - Lecce 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:3 ✺

14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0 ✺

29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	26	21	1	4	62:21	41	64
2	AC Milan	26	15	9	2	41:20	21	54
3	Napoli	26	15	5	6	39:27	12	50
4	AS Roma	26	16	2	8	34:16	18	50
5	Juventus	26	13	7	6	43:25	18	46
6	Como	26	12	9	5	41:19	22	45
7	Atalanta	26	12	9	5	36:22	14	45
8	Bologna	26	10	6	10	35:32	3	36
9	Sassuolo	26	10	5	11	32:35	-3	35
10	Lazio	26	8	10	8	26:25	1	34
11	Udinese	26	9	5	12	28:39	-11	32
12	Parma	26	8	8	10	19:31	-12	32
13	Cagliari	26	7	8	11	28:35	-7	29
14	Genoa	26	6	9	11	32:37	-5	27
15	Torino	26	7	6	13	25:47	-22	27
16	Fiorentina	26	5	9	12	30:39	-9	24
17	Cremonese	26	5	9	12	21:36	-15	24
18	Lecce	26	6	6	14	17:33	-16	24
19	Pisa	26	1	12	13	20:43	-23	15
20	Verona	26	2	9	15	19:46	-27	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B