Napoli vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaParamount+
austriaAustriaA Spor, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkBold+
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItaly20 Mediaset, Infinity+, Italia 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Sport+
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenSport Bladet Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandTrue Premier Football 4
turkeyTurkeyA Spor, Tabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.29
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
88% (349/395)91% (513/562)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.73
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
915
Passes
88% (349/395)91% (513/562)
Long passes
62% (24/39)60% (18/30)
Passes in final third
76% (67/88)82% (122/149)
Crosses
13% (1/8)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.94
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
159
Tackles
50% (6/12)42% (5/12)
Duels won
3142
Clearances
2114
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.731.55
Goals prevented
0.73-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', Rabiot A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, David Neres , Hojlund R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 2 - 0, Hojlund R. , Spinazzola L. (A),
  • 69', Saelemaekers A. , Fofana Y. ,
  • 69', De Winter K. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 75', Jashari A. , Modric L. ,
  • 77', Elmas E. , Lang N. ,
  • 78', Politano M. , Mazzocchi P. ,
  • 81', Spinazzola L. 🟨,
  • 81', Spinazzola L. , Gutierrez M. ,
  • 82', Hojlund R. , Lucca L. ,
  • 83', McTominay S. 🟨,
  • 83', Tomori F. 🟨,
  • 85', Athekame Z. 🟨,
  • 88', David Neres , Vergara A. ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
33.3%
Draw
32.2%
Milan
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 30.1% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 30.1% 34.5%

Napoli - Milan Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.87
(2.65)
2.97
(3.12)
2.78
(2.73)
4.6%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Napoli - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Milan will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 29.1%70.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Milan (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - King Saud University Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.
    • In recent matches, Napoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Milan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Gabbia M. (Concussion) Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Juan Jesus (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Leao R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Milan were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1
    30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1
    29.10.2024 Milan - Napoli 0:2
    11.02.2024 Milan - Napoli 1:0
    29.10.2023 Napoli - Milan 2:2
    Latest results of Napoli
    14.12.2025 Udinese - Napoli 1:0
    10.12.2025 Benfica - Napoli 2:0
    07.12.2025 Napoli - Juventus 2:1
    03.12.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1
    30.11.2025 Roma - Napoli 0:1
    Latest results of Milan
    14.12.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2
    08.12.2025 Torino - Milan 2:3
    04.12.2025 Lazio - Milan 1:0
    29.11.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:0
    23.11.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:1
    Draw
    2025

    Semi-finals
    1NapoliAC Milan2 : 0
    2BolognaInter2 : 1

    Final
    1NapoliBologna