Result
2:0
18/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Cup - Semi-finals
- Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2 |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Austria | A Spor, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Indonesia | ANTV, Vidio |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | 20 Mediaset, Infinity+, Italia 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport, Sport+ |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | A Spor, Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (349/395) | 91% (513/562) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (349/395) | 91% (513/562) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 60% (18/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (67/88) | 82% (122/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Rabiot A. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, David Neres ⚽, Hojlund R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 0, Hojlund R. ⚽, Spinazzola L. (A),
- 69', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
- 69', De Winter K. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
- 75', Jashari A. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
- 77', Elmas E. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
- 78', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
- 81', Spinazzola L. 🟨,
- 81', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
- 82', Hojlund R. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
- 83', McTominay S. 🟨,
- 83', Tomori F. 🟨,
- 85', Athekame Z. 🟨,
- 88', David Neres ↓, Vergara A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Napoli
33.3% | Draw
32.2% | Milan
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Napoli - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.65) |
2.97 ↓
(3.12) |
2.78 ↑
(2.73) |
4.6%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Napoli - Milan?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Milan will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 29.1% – 70.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 1 - 10%). Milan (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Milan (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Milan (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - King Saud University Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.
- In recent matches, Napoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Milan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F.
(Thigh Injury)
De Bruyne K.
(Thigh Injury)
Gilmour B.
(Groin Injury)
Lukaku R.
(Thigh Injury)
Meret A.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Gabbia M.
(Concussion)
Gimenez S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Napoli: Juan Jesus
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Milan: Leao R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Milan?
Napoli has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Napoli?
Milan has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Milan were as follows:
28.09.2025
Milan
-
Napoli
2:1
30.03.2025
Napoli
-
Milan
2:1
29.10.2024
Milan
-
Napoli
0:2
11.02.2024
Milan
-
Napoli
1:0
29.10.2023
Napoli
-
Milan
2:2
Draw
2025Semi-finals| 1 | Napoli | AC Milan | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bologna | Inter | 2 : 1 |
Final
