Napoli vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
06/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 31
  • Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Disney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Max Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, ART Sport 3
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.760.47
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
31
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Passes
90% (470/523)85% (395/465)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
0.760.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.01
Total shots
107
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
10
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free kicks
67
Passes
90% (470/523)85% (395/465)
Long passes
50% (17/34)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
77% (93/121)76% (89/117)
Crosses
15% (2/13)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.40
Throw ins
1819
Fouls
76
Tackles
13% (1/8)73% (8/11)
Duels won
2935
Clearances
1119
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.011.93
Goals prevented
0.010.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Buongiorno A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Saelemaekers A. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 63', Fullkrug N. , Gimenez S. ,
  • 70', Giovane , Alisson Santos ,
  • 74', Nkunku C. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 74', Spinazzola L. , Politano M. ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Politano M. ,
  • 81', Politano M. 🟨,
  • 82', Tomori F. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 82', Fofana Y. , Leao R. ,
  • 85', De Bruyne K. , Elmas E. ,
  • 85', Juan Jesus , Beukema S. ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
39.1%
Draw
31.5%
Milan
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 31.7% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 32.7% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Napoli - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.67)
    3.03
    (3)
    3.24
    (2.91)
    4.9%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Napoli - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 29 - 46%). Milan will win (votes: 11 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 36.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 33.7%58.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Napoli (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Napoli (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.
    • Napoli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Milan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Lukaku R. (Hip Injury) Rrahmani A. (Hamstring Injury) Vergara A. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Gabbia M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Milan were as follows:
    18.12.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:0
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1
    30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1
    29.10.2024 Milan - Napoli 0:2
    11.02.2024 Milan - Napoli 1:0
    Latest results of Napoli
    20.03.2026 Cagliari - Napoli 0:1
    14.03.2026 Napoli - Lecce 2:1
    06.03.2026 Napoli - Torino 2:1
    28.02.2026 Verona - Napoli 1:2
    22.02.2026 Atalanta - Napoli 2:1
    Latest results of Milan
    21.03.2026 Milan - Torino 3:2
    15.03.2026 Lazio - Milan 1:0
    08.03.2026 Milan - Inter Milan 1:0
    01.03.2026 Cremonese - Milan 0:2
    22.02.2026 Milan - Parma 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter31233571:264572
    2Napoli31205647:301765
    3AC Milan31189447:242363
    4Como311610553:223158
    5Juventus31169654:292557
    6AS Roma321831145:281757
    7Atalanta311411644:271753
    8Bologna311361240:37345
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Sassuolo311261338:41-342
    11Udinese311171335:42-740
    12Torino311061535:53-1836
    13Parma318111222:39-1735
    14Genoa31891436:44-833
    15Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    16Cagliari31791532:44-1230
    17Cremonese31691626:46-2027
    18Lecce31761821:43-2227
    19Verona31391922:53-3118
    20Pisa322121823:58-3518

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B