Roma vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Olimpico (Rome).

Serie A - Round 37
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	1.55
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
92% (507/553)	92% (438/475)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.58	1.09
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
9	10
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
32	24
Accurate through passes
1	4
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
16	12
Passes
92% (507/553)	92% (438/475)
Long passes
70% (31/44)	73% (33/45)
Passes in final third
83% (151/181)	81% (75/93)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	1.55
Throw-ins
6	9
Fouls
12	16
Tackles
42% (5/12)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
40	35
Clearances
12	22
Interceptions
9	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.09	2.58
Goals prevented
0.09	-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Mancini G. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
21', Gimenez S. 🟥,
25', Mancini G. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Joao Felix ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
45', Cristante B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, Paredes L. ⚽,
61', Celik Z. 🟨,
62', Jimenez A. 🟨,
63', Paredes L. 🟨,
65', Jimenez A. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
65', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
66', Joao Felix ↓, Leao R. ↑,
78', Soule M. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
78', Paredes L. ↓, Gourna-Douath L. ↑,
84', Shomurodov E. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
84', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
84', Gabbia M. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Cristante B. ⚽, El Shaarawy S. (A),
90', Pulisic C. ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,
90', Tomori F. 🟨,
90+3', Conceicao S. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Roma
43%

Draw
26.9%

Milan
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.1%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Roma - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2)	3.55 ↓ (3.74)	3.17 ↓ (3.69)	4.2% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Roma - Milan?

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 28 - 63.6%). Milan will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 49.4% – 77.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 2 - 50%). Milan (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Roma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Roma: Buba Aboubacar (Injury) Dybala P. (Thigh Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Milan: Bondo W. (Hip Injury) Chukwueze S. (Groin Injury) Hernandez T. (Thigh Injury) Sottil R. (Muscle Injury) Walker K. (Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Milan?

Roma has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Roma?

Milan has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Milan were as follows:

05.02.2025 Milan - Roma 3:1

29.12.2024 Milan - Roma 1:1

31.05.2024 Roma - Milan 5:2

18.04.2024 Roma - Milan 2:1

11.04.2024 Milan - Roma 0:1

Latest results of Roma

12.05.2025 Atalanta - Roma 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Roma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Inter Milan - Roma 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Roma - Verona 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Lazio - Roma 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Milan

14.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 0:1 ✺

09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺

05.05.2025 Genoa - Milan 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Venezia - Milan 0:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:3 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B