Result
3:1
18/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (507/553) | 92% (438/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (507/553) | 92% (438/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (31/44) | 73% (33/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (151/181) | 81% (75/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Mancini G. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
- 21', Gimenez S. 🟥,
- 25', Mancini G. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Joao Felix ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
- 45', Cristante B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 1, Paredes L. ⚽,
- 61', Celik Z. 🟨,
- 62', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 63', Paredes L. 🟨,
- 65', Jimenez A. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
- 65', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
- 66', Joao Felix ↓, Leao R. ↑,
- 78', Soule M. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
- 78', Paredes L. ↓, Gourna-Douath L. ↑,
- 84', Shomurodov E. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
- 84', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
- 84', Gabbia M. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Cristante B. ⚽, El Shaarawy S. (A),
- 90', Pulisic C. ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,
- 90', Tomori F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Conceicao S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Roma
43% | Draw
26.9% | Milan
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Roma - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2) |
3.55 ↓
(3.74) |
3.17 ↓
(3.69) |
4.2%
(3.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Roma - Milan?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 28 - 63.6%). Milan will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 49.4% – 77.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 2 - 50%). Milan (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Roma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Roma: Buba Aboubacar
(Injury)
Dybala P.
(Thigh Injury)
Pellegrini Lo.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Bondo W.
(Hip Injury)
Chukwueze S.
(Groin Injury)
Hernandez T.
(Thigh Injury)
Sottil R.
(Muscle Injury)
Walker K.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Milan?
Roma has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Roma?
Milan has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Milan were as follows:
05.02.2025
Milan
-
Roma
3:1
29.12.2024
Milan
-
Roma
1:1
31.05.2024
Roma
-
Milan
5:2
18.04.2024
Roma
-
Milan
2:1
11.04.2024
Milan
-
Roma
0:1
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Roma - Milan?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
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