Roma vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 22
  • Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.750.44
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
53
Passes
87% (512/587)83% (359/434)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
2.750.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.501.02
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
114
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
4413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1115
Passes
87% (512/587)83% (359/434)
Long passes
62% (26/42)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
80% (197/247)67% (53/79)
Crosses
15% (4/26)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.46
Throw ins
2315
Fouls
1511
Tackles
50% (6/12)43% (9/21)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
1226
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
1.022.50
Goals prevented
0.021.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Saelemaekers A. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 51', Rabiot A. 🟨,
  • 55', Athekame Z. 🟨,
  • 59', Kone M. , Pisilli N. ,
  • 62', 0 - 1, De Winter K. , Modric L. (A),
  • 68', Leao R. , Fullkrug N. ,
  • 69', Nkunku C. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 69', Dybala P. , Pellegrini Lo. ,
  • 69', Malen D. , Vaz R. ,
  • 70', Modric L. 🟨,
  • 74', Maignan M. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Pellegrini Lo. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 79', Ricci S. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 85', Soule M. , Venturino L. ,

Chances of winning


Roma
34.6%
Draw
31.8%
Milan
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 32.3% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 33.5% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Roma - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.65)
    3.02
    (2.94)
    2.84
    (2.99)
    4.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Roma - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 12 - 21.8%). Milan will win (votes: 13 - 23.6%). It will Tie (votes: 30 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.3%67.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Milan (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Milan (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Roma (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Roma (2.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Milan (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Milan (4.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Roma (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Milan (votes: 10 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 16 - 45.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Milan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Hermoso M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roma: Angelino (Lacking Match Fitness) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Milan were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Milan - Roma 1:0
    18.05.2025 Roma - Milan 3:1
    05.02.2025 Milan - Roma 3:1
    29.12.2024 Milan - Roma 1:1
    31.05.2024 Roma - Milan 5:2
    Latest results of Roma
    22.01.2026 Roma - Stuttgart 2:0
    18.01.2026 Torino - Roma 0:2
    13.01.2026 Roma - Torino 2:3
    10.01.2026 Roma - Sassuolo 2:0
    06.01.2026 Lecce - Roma 0:2
    Latest results of Milan
    18.01.2026 Milan - Lecce 1:0
    15.01.2026 Como - Milan 1:3
    11.01.2026 Fiorentina - Milan 1:1
    08.01.2026 Milan - Genoa 1:1
    02.01.2026 Cagliari - Milan 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B