Udinese vs Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine).

: Serie A - Round 32
Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	1.56
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
5	7
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
88% (395/448)	84% (333/395)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	1.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.43	3.14
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
22	23
Through passes
0% (0/2)	50% (1/2)
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
88% (395/448)	84% (333/395)
Long passes
46% (12/26)	36% (14/39)
Passes in final third
74% (91/123)	70% (66/94)
Crosses
14% (2/14)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.36	1.23
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
92% (12/13)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
32	28
Clearances Total
19	9
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
3.14	0.43
Goals prevented
-0.86	0.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
42', 0 - 1, Leao R. ⚽, Fofana Y. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Pavlovic S. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Maignan M. ↓, Sportiello M. ↑,
65', Lovric S. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
65', Kamara H. ↓, Modesto R. ↑,
73', Jimenez A. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
73', Jovic L. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Hernandez T. ⚽, Abraham T. (A),
74', Bijol J. 🟨,
76', Kristensen T. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
76', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Reijnders T. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
83', Hernandez T. ↓, Bartesaghi D. ↑,
83', Leao R. ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,
83', Lucca L. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
89', Terracciano F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Udinese
23%

Draw
27%

Milan
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

26.8%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

26.3%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Udinese - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.49)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	1.92 ↓ (2.09)	4.7% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : FOX Deportes

What is the prediction for Udinese - Milan?

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 6 - 10.7%). Milan will win (votes: 44 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 67.9% – 89.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Udinese won 2.
Udinese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Milan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Milan will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Udinese: Davis K. (Injury) Sanchez A. (Muscle Injury) Sava R. (Finger Injury) Thauvin F. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury) Zemura J. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal (Calf Injury) Gimenez S. (Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Surgery) Walker K. (Elbow Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Udinese won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:28 (average 1.3:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.5:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Udinese won against Milan?

Udinese has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Udinese?

Milan has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Milan were as follows:

19.10.2024 Milan - Udinese 1:0

20.01.2024 Udinese - Milan 2:3

04.11.2023 Milan - Udinese 0:1

18.03.2023 Udinese - Milan 3:1

Latest results of Udinese

04.04.2025 Genoa - Udinese 1:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Udinese - Verona 0:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Lazio - Udinese 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Udinese - Parma 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Milan

05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Milan - Como 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Udinese - Milan?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1, ELTA Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia