Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 4
- Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN South |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 1.25 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
89% (352/395) | 91% (551/608) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 1.25 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.17 | 2.30 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
89% (352/395) | 91% (551/608) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (9/21) | 70% (33/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (100/123) | 80% (91/114) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (6/16) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.53 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (14/14) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.30 | 0.17 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.70 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Atta A. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Pulisic C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Bravo I. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
- 46', 0 - 2, Fofana Y. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
- 50', Zemura J. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 3, Pulisic C. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
- 59', Ehizibue K. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
- 59', Davis K. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
- 59', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Modesto R. ↑,
- 63', Pulisic C. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
- 63', Gimenez S. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
- 68', Pavlovic S. ↓, De Winter K. ↑,
- 68', Fofana Y. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
- 81', Modric L. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
- 81', Atta A. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Udinese 13.4% | Draw 21.7% | Milan 64.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Udinese's form might have worsened.Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Udinese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Udinese - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.41 ↑ (4.37) |
4.98 ↑ (3.71) |
1.58 ↓ (1.81) |
-4.5% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Udinese - Milan?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Milan will win
(41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2.
- Udinese has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Milan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Udinese: Lovric S.
(Calf Injury)
Okoye M.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Milan: Jashari A.
(Calf Injury)
Leao R.
(Calf Injury)
Maignan M.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Udinese won against Milan?
Udinese has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Udinese?
Milan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Milan were as follows:
11.04.2025
Udinese
-
Milan
0:4
19.10.2024
Milan
-
Udinese
1:0
20.01.2024
Udinese
-
Milan
2:3
04.11.2023
Milan
-
Udinese
0:1
18.03.2023
Udinese
-
Milan
3:1
Latest results of Udinese
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
3 | AC Milan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | AS Roma | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 8 |
6 | Cremonese | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
7 | Cagliari | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Como | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
9 | Udinese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Inter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 6 |
11 | Bologna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 4 |
13 | Lazio | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Sassuolo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Verona | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
16 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
17 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
19 | Pisa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Lecce | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B