Result
0:4
11/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 32
- Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Maldives | ICE Sports, Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-africa | SuperSport Football |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1, ELTA Sports 2 |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 1.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
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14 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 7 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 7 |
Passes |
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88% (395/448) | 84% (333/395) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 1.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.43 | 3.14 |
Total shots |
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14 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 23 |
Through passes |
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0% (0/2) | 50% (1/2) |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 10 |
Passes |
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88% (395/448) | 84% (333/395) |
Long passes |
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46% (12/26) | 36% (14/39) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (91/123) | 70% (66/94) |
Crosses |
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14% (2/14) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.36 | 1.23 |
Fouls |
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10 | 9 |
Tackles |
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92% (12/13) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
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32 | 28 |
Clearances Total |
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19 | 9 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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3.14 | 0.43 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.86 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 42', 0 - 1, Leao R. ⚽, Fofana Y. (A),
- 45', 0 - 2, Pavlovic S. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', Maignan M. ↓, Sportiello M. ↑,
- 65', Lovric S. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
- 65', Kamara H. ↓, Modesto R. ↑,
- 73', Jimenez A. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
- 73', Jovic L. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 3, Hernandez T. ⚽, Abraham T. (A),
- 74', Bijol J. 🟨,
- 76', Kristensen T. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
- 76', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 4, Reijnders T. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
- 83', Hernandez T. ↓, Bartesaghi D. ↑,
- 83', Leao R. ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,
- 83', Lucca L. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
- 89', Terracciano F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Udinese 23% | Draw 27% | Milan 50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Udinese - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.14 ↑ (3.49) |
3.54 ↓ (3.58) |
1.92 ↓ (2.09) |
4.7% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
What is the prediction for Udinese - Milan?
Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 6 - 10.7%). Milan will win (votes: 44 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 67.9% – 89.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Udinese won 2.
- Udinese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Milan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Milan will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Udinese: Davis K.
(Injury)
Sanchez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sava R.
(Finger Injury)
Thauvin F.
(Foot Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
Zemura J.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal
(Calf Injury)
Gimenez S.
(Injury)
Loftus-Cheek R.
(Surgery)
Walker K.
(Elbow Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Udinese won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:28 (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Udinese won against Milan?
Udinese has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Udinese?
Milan has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Milan were as follows:
19.10.2024
Milan
-
Udinese
1:0
20.01.2024
Udinese
-
Milan
2:3
04.11.2023
Milan
-
Udinese
0:1
18.03.2023
Udinese
-
Milan
3:1
Latest results of Udinese
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B