Udinese vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine).

Serie A - Round 4
Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.35	1.25
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	4
Passes
89% (352/395)	91% (551/608)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.17	2.30
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
2	11
Shots outside the Box
8	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
20	29
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
7	9
Passes
89% (352/395)	91% (551/608)
Long passes
43% (9/21)	70% (33/47)
Passes in final third
81% (100/123)	80% (91/114)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	0.74
Throw-ins
14	18
Fouls
9	7
Tackles
100% (14/14)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
36	40
Clearances
19	17
Interceptions
11	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
2.30	0.17
Goals prevented
-0.70	0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Atta A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Pulisic C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bravo I. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Fofana Y. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
50', Zemura J. 🟨,
53', 0 - 3, Pulisic C. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
59', Ehizibue K. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
59', Davis K. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
59', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Modesto R. ↑,
63', Pulisic C. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
63', Gimenez S. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
68', Pavlovic S. ↓, De Winter K. ↑,
68', Fofana Y. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
81', Modric L. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
81', Atta A. ↓, Miller L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Udinese
13.4%

Draw
21.7%

Milan
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

25.7%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

27.5%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Udinese's form might have worsened.

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Udinese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Udinese - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.41 ↑ (4.37)	4.98 ↑ (3.71)	1.58 ↓ (1.81)	-4.5% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Udinese - Milan?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Milan (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 18 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2.
Udinese has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Milan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Udinese: Lovric S. (Calf Injury) Okoye M. (Suspended)
There will not play in Milan: Jashari A. (Calf Injury) Leao R. (Calf Injury) Maignan M. (Calf Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Udinese won against Milan?

Udinese has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Udinese?

Milan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Milan were as follows:

11.04.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:4

19.10.2024 Milan - Udinese 1:0

20.01.2024 Udinese - Milan 2:3

04.11.2023 Milan - Udinese 0:1

18.03.2023 Udinese - Milan 3:1

Latest results of Udinese

14.09.2025 Pisa - Udinese 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 1:2 ✺

25.08.2025 Udinese - Verona 1:1 ✺

18.08.2025 Udinese - Carrarese 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Udinese 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Milan

14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0 ✺

29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2 ✺

23.08.2025 Milan - Cremonese 1:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Milan - Bari 2:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	29	22	2	5	65:23	42	68
2	AC Milan	29	17	9	3	44:21	23	60
3	Napoli	29	18	5	6	45:30	15	59
4	Como	29	15	9	5	48:22	26	54
5	Juventus	29	15	8	6	51:28	23	53
6	AS Roma	29	16	3	10	39:23	16	51
7	Atalanta	29	12	11	6	40:27	13	47
8	Bologna	29	12	6	11	38:34	4	42
9	Lazio	29	10	10	9	29:28	1	40
10	Sassuolo	29	11	5	13	35:39	-4	38
11	Udinese	29	10	6	13	33:42	-9	36
12	Parma	29	8	10	11	21:36	-15	34
13	Genoa	29	8	9	12	36:40	-4	33
14	Torino	29	9	6	14	32:50	-18	33
15	Cagliari	29	7	9	13	31:41	-10	30
16	Fiorentina	29	6	10	13	34:43	-9	28
17	Lecce	29	7	6	16	21:39	-18	27
18	Cremonese	29	5	9	15	23:44	-21	24
19	Pisa	29	2	12	15	23:49	-26	18
20	Verona	29	3	9	17	22:51	-29	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B