Udinese vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Udinese - Milan
Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 4
  • Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 2, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.25
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
89% (352/395)91% (551/608)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.172.30
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
211
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
79
Passes
89% (352/395)91% (551/608)
Long passes
43% (9/21)70% (33/47)
Passes in final third
81% (100/123)80% (91/114)
Crosses
38% (6/16)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.74
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
97
Tackles
100% (14/14)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3640
Clearances
1917
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.300.17
Goals prevented
-0.700.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Atta A. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Pulisic C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Bravo I. , Buksa A. ,
  • 46', 0 - 2, Fofana Y. , Pulisic C. (A),
  • 50', Zemura J. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 3, Pulisic C. , Rabiot A. (A),
  • 59', Ehizibue K. , Zanoli A. ,
  • 59', Davis K. , Zaniolo N. ,
  • 59', Ekkelenkamp J. , Modesto R. ,
  • 63', Pulisic C. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 63', Gimenez S. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 68', Pavlovic S. , De Winter K. ,
  • 68', Fofana Y. , Ricci S. ,
  • 81', Modric L. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 81', Atta A. , Miller L. ,

Chances of winning


Udinese
13.4%
Draw
21.7%
Milan
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 25.7% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4% 27.5% 56.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Udinese's form might have worsened.
  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Udinese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Udinese - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.41
    (4.37)
    4.98
    (3.71)
    1.58
    (1.81)
    -4.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Udinese - Milan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Milan will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.69%96.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2.
    • Udinese has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Milan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Udinese: Lovric S. (Calf Injury) Okoye M. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Milan: Jashari A. (Calf Injury) Leao R. (Calf Injury) Maignan M. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Milan were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:4
    19.10.2024 Milan - Udinese 1:0
    20.01.2024 Udinese - Milan 2:3
    04.11.2023 Milan - Udinese 0:1
    18.03.2023 Udinese - Milan 3:1
    Latest results of Udinese
    14.09.2025 Pisa - Udinese 0:1
    31.08.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 1:2
    25.08.2025 Udinese - Verona 1:1
    18.08.2025 Udinese - Carrarese 2:0
    09.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Udinese 1:2
    Latest results of Milan
    14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    23.08.2025 Milan - Cremonese 1:2
    17.08.2025 Milan - Bari 2:0
    10.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli44009:3612
    2Juventus43108:4410
    3AC Milan43017:259
    4AS Roma43013:129
    5Atalanta42209:368
    6Cremonese42205:328
    7Cagliari42115:327
    8Como42115:327
    9Udinese42114:5-17
    10Inter420211:746
    11Bologna42023:306
    12Torino41121:8-74
    13Lazio41034:403
    14Sassuolo41034:7-33
    15Verona40312:6-43
    16Genoa40222:4-22
    17Fiorentina40223:6-32
    18Parma40221:5-42
    19Pisa40133:6-31
    20Lecce40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B