Mili Poljicak vs Guy Den Ouden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Porto 2 Challenger Men Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden
Result
1:2
26/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
67
1st Serve Percentage
59%66%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (37/51)72% (39/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
37% (13/35)39% (11/28)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
28% (15/54)27% (14/51)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (17/28)63% (22/35)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
58% (50/86)61% (50/82)
Return Points Won
39% (32/82)42% (36/86)
Total Points Won
49% (82/168)51% (86/168)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)75% (9/12)
Return Games Won
25% (3/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Mili Poljicak
33.1%
Guy Den Ouden
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 61.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mili Poljicak's form might have worsened.
  • Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guy Den Ouden's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mili Poljicak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.33)

    1.41
    (1.57)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Poljicak will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Den Ouden: 73.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Poljicak is ranked ATP: 279. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 157.
    • Recent form of Poljicak has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Den Ouden's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Poljicak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Den Ouden will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mili Poljicak
    Latest results of Guy Den Ouden
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Seyboth Wild T. (1)Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    2Pereira T.Dodig M.1 : 2
    3Wallin O. (Q)Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    4Hernandez A. (Alt)Olivieri G. A. (7)0 : 2
    5Barrena A. (4)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    6Alvarez Varona N.Strombachs R. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Bailly G. A. (NG)Mrva M. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Araujo P. (WC)Ymer E. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (8)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Torres T. (Q)Barton H.2 : 1
    11Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)Pieczonka F. (Q)2 : 0
    12Brunold M.Rocha H. (3)2 : 0
    13Popko D. (6)Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    14Michalski D.Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    15Rocha F. (WC)McKennon M. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    16Poljicak M.Den Ouden G. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sanchez Izquierdo N.Dodig M.2 : 0
    2Moro Canas A.Olivieri G. A. (7)2 : 1
    3Barrena A. (4)Alvarez Varona N.0 : 2
    4Bailly G. A.Araujo P.2 : 0
    5Ferreira Silva F. (8)Torres T.2 : 0
    6Jorda Sanchis D.Brunold M.2 : 1
    7Kuzmanov D.Michalski D.1 : 2
    8Rocha F.Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sanchez Izquierdo N.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    2Alvarez Varona N.Bailly G. A.1 : 2
    3Ferreira Silva F. (8)Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 0
    4Michalski D.Den Ouden G. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moro Canas A.Bailly G. A.1 : 2
    2Ferreira Silva F. (8)Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bailly G. A.Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2