Result
2:1
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 28
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (381/478) | 69% (198/286) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (381/478) | 69% (198/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 44% (31/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (115/168) | 49% (42/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Esse R. ⚽,
- 19', Esse R. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Ivanovic M. ⚽, Azeez F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', Eccles J. 🟨,
- 70', Esse R. ↓, Sakamoto T. ↑,
- 70', Rudoni J. ↓, Thomas-Asante B. ↑,
- 70', Eccles J. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
- 73', Sturge Z. 🟨,
- 74', Ballo T. ↓, De Norre C. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Wright H. ⚽, Thomas-Asante B. (A),
- 81', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
- 83', Langstaff M. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
- 83', Neghli C. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 86', Azeez F. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Coventry City
50.3% | Draw
26.9% | Millwall
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coventry City's form might have worsened.Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coventry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Coventry City - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.64) |
3.49 ↓
(3.99) |
4.12 ↓
(5.1) |
6.1%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Coventry City - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Millwall will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 63.4% – 93.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Millwall (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Millwall (4.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Millwall (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 3.
- Recent form of Coventry has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Millwall is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Coventry is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O.
(Knee Injury)
Kesler-Hayden K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Inactive)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
Mazou-Sacko D.
(Knock)
Smallbone W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Coventry City won against Millwall?
Coventry City has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Coventry City?
Millwall has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coventry City - Millwall were as follows:
01.10.2025
Millwall
-
Coventry City
0:4
26.08.2025
Millwall
-
Coventry City
2:1
29.12.2024
Coventry City
-
Millwall
0:0
07.12.2024
Millwall
-
Coventry City
0:1
11.02.2024
Coventry City
-
Millwall
2:1
Latest results of Coventry City
Latest results of Millwall
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
