Result
0:4
01/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 8
- Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 3.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (420/516) | 67% (205/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 3.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 3.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (420/516) | 67% (205/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 20% (14/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/113) | 47% (40/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.42 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Bryan J. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Wright H. ⚽, Thomas-Asante B. (A),
- 42', Wright H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Mitchell B. 🟨,
- 53', Torp V. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
- 64', Cundle L. ↓, Azeez F. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 2, Wright H. ⚽, van Ewijk M. (A),
- 72', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
- 72', Sakamoto T. ↓, Kesler-Hayden K. ↑,
- 72', Eccles J. ↓, Woolfenden L. ↑,
- 74', Mitchell B. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
- 74', Emakhu A. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 74', Harding W. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Simms E. ⚽,
- 83', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,
- 85', van Ewijk M. 🟨,
- 87', 0 - 4, Kesler-Hayden K. ⚽, van Ewijk M. (A),
Chances of winning
Millwall
13.9% | Draw
22.8% | Coventry City
63.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coventry City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+20.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-25%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coventry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Millwall - Coventry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.55 ↑
(2.81) |
6.17 ↑
(3.56) |
2.01 ↓
(2.41) |
-24.5%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Millwall - Coventry City?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Coventry will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 27.4% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 3 - 30%). Coventry (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F.
(Ankle Injury)
De Norre C.
(Injury)
Doughty A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kelly D.
(Hamstring Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O.
(Knee Injury)
Rudoni J.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Lovelace Z.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Coventry: Mason-Clark E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Coventry City?
Millwall has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coventry City won against Millwall?
Coventry City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Coventry City were as follows:
26.08.2025
Millwall
-
Coventry City
2:1
29.12.2024
Coventry City
-
Millwall
0:0
07.12.2024
Millwall
-
Coventry City
0:1
11.02.2024
Coventry City
-
Millwall
2:1
25.11.2023
Millwall
-
Coventry City
0:3
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Coventry City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
