Millwall vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Den (London).

Championship - Round 6
Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2, SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, SuperSport 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.74
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
75% (264/352)	84% (482/572)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.31	0.29
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
22	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	11
Passes
75% (264/352)	84% (482/572)
Long passes
30% (14/47)	41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
64% (73/114)	73% (112/153)
Crosses
11% (2/19)	19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	0.44
Throw-ins
17	21
Fouls
11	9
Tackles
68% (15/22)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
49	58
Clearances
36	37
Interceptions
12	5
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.29	0.31
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽,
30', Bryan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Selvik E. ↓, Baxter N. ↑,
62', Mendy N. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
67', Emakhu A. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
72', Bola M. ↓, Wiley C. ↑,
72', Mendy F. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
72', Semedo V. ↓, Kjerrumgaard L. ↑,
78', Ballo T. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
79', Bryan J. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
79', Neghli C. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
88', Kyprianou H. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
90+3', Leonard R. ↓, Harding W. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Millwall
51.6%

Draw
27.8%

Watford
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.2%

27.1%

Millwall - Watford Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.1)	3.59 ↑ (3.25)	4.93 ↑ (3.4)	0.1% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Millwall - Watford?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%). Watford will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 39.2% – 72.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Watford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Watford has had a series of home games.
Millwall could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Ankle Injury) De Norre C. (Injury) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lamptey R. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Millwall: Baker-Boaitey B. (Inactive) Kelly D. (Injury) Langstaff M. (Hip Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Ngakia J. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Watford?

Millwall has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Millwall?

Watford has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Watford were as follows:

08.03.2025 Watford - Millwall 1:2

10.08.2024 Millwall - Watford 2:3

02.03.2024 Millwall - Watford 1:0

28.10.2023 Watford - Millwall 2:2

26.12.2022 Watford - Millwall 0:2

Latest results of Millwall

16.09.2025 Crystal Palace - Millwall 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Charlton Athletic - Millwall 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Millwall - Wrexham 0:2 ✺

26.08.2025 Millwall - Coventry City 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Sheffield United - Millwall 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Watford

13.09.2025 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2 ✺

23.08.2025 Swansea City - Watford 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Watford - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Watford - Norwich City 1:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	24	15	6	3	54:25	29	51
2	Middlesbrough	24	12	7	5	33:25	8	43
3	Ipswich	24	11	8	5	40:23	17	41
4	Hull	24	12	5	7	40:37	3	41
5	Millwall	24	11	6	7	27:32	-5	39
6	Watford	24	10	8	6	34:29	5	38
7	Preston	24	9	10	5	31:25	6	37
8	Bristol City	24	10	6	8	33:27	6	36
9	QPR	24	10	5	9	34:37	-3	35
10	Stoke	24	10	4	10	29:23	6	34
11	Wrexham	24	8	10	6	34:31	3	34
12	Leicester	24	9	7	8	34:34	0	34
13	Southampton	24	8	8	8	38:34	4	32
14	Derby	24	8	8	8	33:33	0	32
15	Birmingham	24	8	7	9	32:31	1	31
16	West Brom	24	9	4	11	28:32	-4	31
17	Sheffield Utd	24	9	2	13	33:37	-4	29
18	Swansea	24	8	5	11	25:31	-6	29
19	Blackburn	23	7	6	10	22:26	-4	27
20	Charlton	23	7	6	10	22:29	-7	27
21	Portsmouth	23	6	7	10	21:30	-9	25
22	Oxford Utd	24	5	7	12	24:33	-9	22
23	Norwich	24	5	6	13	26:36	-10	21
24	Sheffield Wed	23	1	8	14	18:45	-27	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One