Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 27
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/405) | 74% (236/319) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/405) | 74% (236/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (75/125) | 55% (55/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+4', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', De Norre C. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 49', Mitchell B. 🟨,
- 54', Chakvetadze G. 🟨,
- 66', Doughty A. 🟨,
- 66', Maamma O. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
- 66', Ngakia J. ↓, Keben K. ↑,
- 67', Ballo T. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 67', Ivanovic M. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Azeez F. ⚽,
- 71', Neghli C. 🟨,
- 80', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
- 80', Kyprianou H. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 80', Azeez F. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Coburn J. ⚽, Neghli C. (A),
- 88', Neghli C. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
- 89', Irankunda N. 🟨,
- 89', Crama T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pollock M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Watford
44.5% | Draw
27.8% | Millwall
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Watford - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.91) |
3.41 ↓
(3.6) |
3.42 ↓
(3.87) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Watford - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). Millwall will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 39.1% – 73.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 50%). Millwall (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 1.
- Watford is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Millwall has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Millwall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Watford might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Watford: Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Millwall: Cundle L.
(Shoulder Injury)
De Norre C.
(Calf Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Inactive)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
Smallbone W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Watford won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Millwall?
Watford has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Watford?
Millwall has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Millwall were as follows:
22.09.2025
Millwall
-
Watford
1:0
08.03.2025
Watford
-
Millwall
1:2
10.08.2024
Millwall
-
Watford
2:3
02.03.2024
Millwall
-
Watford
1:0
28.10.2023
Watford
-
Millwall
2:2
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Millwall
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
