Millwall vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Millwall - Watford
Result
1:0
22/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 6
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2, SuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, SuperSport 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV6
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.74
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
75% (264/352)84% (482/572)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.310.29
Total shots
911
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
911
Passes
75% (264/352)84% (482/572)
Long passes
30% (14/47)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
64% (73/114)73% (112/153)
Crosses
11% (2/19)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.44
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
119
Tackles
68% (15/22)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4958
Clearances
3637
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.290.31
Goals prevented
0.29-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ,
  • 30', Bryan J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Selvik E. , Baxter N. ,
  • 62', Mendy N. , Kayembe E. ,
  • 67', Emakhu A. , Smallbone W. ,
  • 72', Bola M. , Wiley C. ,
  • 72', Mendy F. , Baah K. ,
  • 72', Semedo V. , Kjerrumgaard L. ,
  • 78', Ballo T. , Taylor C. ,
  • 79', Bryan J. , Sturge Z. ,
  • 79', Neghli C. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 88', Kyprianou H. , Vata R. ,
  • 90+3', Leonard R. , Harding W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
51.6%
Draw
27.8%
Watford
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 28.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 28.2% 27.1%

Millwall - Watford Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.92
(2.1)
3.59
(3.25)
4.93
(3.4)
0.1%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%). Watford will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 39.2%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Watford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Watford has had a series of home games.
    • Millwall could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Ankle Injury) De Norre C. (Injury) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lamptey R. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Baker-Boaitey B. (Inactive) Kelly D. (Injury) Langstaff M. (Hip Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Ngakia J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Watford were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Watford - Millwall 1:2
    10.08.2024 Millwall - Watford 2:3
    02.03.2024 Millwall - Watford 1:0
    28.10.2023 Watford - Millwall 2:2
    26.12.2022 Watford - Millwall 0:2
    Latest results of Millwall
    16.09.2025 Crystal Palace - Millwall 2:1
    30.08.2025 Millwall - Wrexham 0:2
    26.08.2025 Millwall - Coventry City 2:1
    Latest results of Watford
    13.09.2025 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1
    30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2
    23.08.2025 Swansea City - Watford 1:1
    12.08.2025 Watford - Norwich City 1:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry15104140:132734
    2Middlesbrough1585219:13629
    3Stoke1583421:101127
    4Preston1575320:14626
    5Hull1574426:24225
    6Millwall1574417:20-325
    7Ipswich1465326:161023
    8Bristol City1565422:18423
    9Charlton1565416:12423
    10Derby1565420:19123
    11Birmingham1563620:17321
    12Leicester1556418:16221
    13Wrexham1556420:19121
    14West Brom1563614:16-221
    15Watford1555519:18120
    16QPR1554617:23-619
    17Southampton1546518:21-318
    18Swansea1545615:19-417
    19Blackburn1451814:19-516
    20Portsmouth1535712:20-814
    21Oxford Utd1534816:22-613
    22Sheffield Utd15311111:26-1510
    23Norwich15231014:23-99
    24Sheffield Wed1515912:29-17-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One