Result
1:0
22/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 6
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 2, SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, SuperSport 2 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/352) | 84% (482/572) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/352) | 84% (482/572) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (14/47) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (73/114) | 73% (112/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽,
- 30', Bryan J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Selvik E. ↓, Baxter N. ↑,
- 62', Mendy N. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
- 67', Emakhu A. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
- 72', Bola M. ↓, Wiley C. ↑,
- 72', Mendy F. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 72', Semedo V. ↓, Kjerrumgaard L. ↑,
- 78', Ballo T. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
- 79', Bryan J. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
- 79', Neghli C. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 88', Kyprianou H. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
- 90+3', Leonard R. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Millwall
51.6% | Draw
27.8% | Watford
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millwall's performance.Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Watford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millwall that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Millwall - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.1) |
3.59 ↑
(3.25) |
4.93 ↑
(3.4) |
0.1%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Watford?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%). Watford will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 39.2% – 72.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Watford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Watford has had a series of home games.
- Millwall could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F.
(Ankle Injury)
De Norre C.
(Injury)
Doughty A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lamptey R.
(Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell B.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G.
(Foot Injury)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
Wiley C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Baker-Boaitey B.
(Inactive)
Kelly D.
(Injury)
Langstaff M.
(Hip Injury)
Lovelace Z.
(Knee Injury)
Smallbone W.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
Ngakia J.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Watford?
Millwall has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Millwall?
Watford has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Watford were as follows:
08.03.2025
Watford
-
Millwall
1:2
10.08.2024
Millwall
-
Watford
2:3
02.03.2024
Millwall
-
Watford
1:0
28.10.2023
Watford
-
Millwall
2:2
26.12.2022
Watford
-
Millwall
0:2
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
