Millwall vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Millwall - Wrexham
Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 4
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
swedenSwedenViaplay
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.55
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
79% (370/467)72% (225/312)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.46
Total shots
216
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
142
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
427
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
139
Passes
79% (370/467)72% (225/312)
Long passes
55% (35/64)40% (29/72)
Passes in final third
69% (113/163)61% (45/74)
Crosses
27% (8/30)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.740.47
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
1013
Tackles
69% (9/13)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5544
Clearances
1547
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.460.29
Goals prevented
-0.540.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Moore K. , Cleworth M. (A),
  • 64', Doyle C. 🟨,
  • 70', Hardie R. , Smith S. ,
  • 73', Sturge Z. , Bryan J. ,
  • 73', Neghli C. , Bangura-Williams R. ,
  • 77', Doyle C. , Brunt L. ,
  • 77', Cacace L. , McClean J. ,
  • 82', Bangura-Williams R. 🟨,
  • 82', Leonard R. , Taylor C. ,
  • 82', Coburn J. , Nisbet K. ,
  • 90', Longman R. , Scarr D. ,
  • 90', Cundle L. , Kelly D. ,
  • 90+16', Ward D. , Okonkwo A. ,
  • 90+18', Moore K. 🟨,
  • 90+18', 0 - 2, O'Brien L. , McClean J. (A),
  • 90+20', O'Brien L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Millwall
45.4%
Draw
28.8%
Wrexham
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 27.2% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 27% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Millwall - Wrexham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.01)
    3.28
    (3.49)
    3.66
    (3.7)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Wrexham?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Millwall will win (58 of 63 users predict this - 92.06%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.38%98.74%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Millwall is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Wrexham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Millwall could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Doughty A. (Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Windass J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Neghli C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Knock) Thomason G. (Thigh Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Millwall
    26.08.2025 Millwall - Coventry City 2:1
    16.08.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 0:3
    12.08.2025 Newport County - Millwall 0:1
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    Latest results of Wrexham
    12.08.2025 Wrexham - Hull City 4:3
    09.08.2025 Southampton - Wrexham 2:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough44007:1612
    2West Brom43106:3310
    3Stoke43018:359
    4Leicester43016:339
    5Coventry422014:688
    6Bristol City42209:458
    7Swansea42114:227
    8Portsmouth42114:317
    9Preston42114:317
    10Birmingham42114:407
    11Norwich42026:516
    12Millwall42023:6-36
    13Southampton41216:605
    14Watford41215:505
    15Wrexham41127:704
    16Charlton41122:4-24
    17Hull41125:9-44
    18QPR41126:11-54
    19Blackburn41034:5-13
    20Ipswich40314:5-13
    21Derby40227:11-42
    22Oxford Utd40134:7-31
    23Sheffield Wed40133:9-61
    24Sheffield Utd40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One