Milos Karol vs Manuel Mazza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
29/03/2026 at 12:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
50
1st serve percentage
70%66%
1st serve points won
65% (41/63)62% (38/61)
2nd serve points won
30% (8/27)56% (18/32)
Break Points Saved
5/911/12
1st return points won
38% (23/61)35% (22/63)
2nd return points won
44% (14/32)70% (19/27)
Break Points Converted
1/124/9
Net points won
77% (10/13)77% (10/13)
Service Points Won
54% (49/90)60% (56/93)
Return Points Won
40% (37/93)46% (41/90)
Total Points Won
47% (86/183)53% (97/183)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
10
Service games won
64% (7/11)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)36% (4/11)
Total games won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Milos Karol
61.3%
Manuel Mazza
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Manuel Mazza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Milos Karol - Manuel Mazza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.52)

    2.41
    (2.39)
    7%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Milos Karol - Manuel Mazza?
  • Users Predictions: Milos Karol will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Karol is ranked ATP: 411. Mazza is ranked ATP: 574.
    • Karol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mazza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Karol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Karol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Milos Karol
    Latest results of Manuel Mazza
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ribecai M. (LL)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (Q)Kasnikowski M. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Squire H.Poljicak M. (SE)0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Giustino L. (7)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    6Bailly G. A.Coppejans K.0 : 2
    7Fatic N.Bondioli F. (WC)2 : 0
    8Forti F. (Q)Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    9Bertola R. (8)Gentzsch T.2 : 0
    10Dalla Valle E. (WC)Chazal M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Ajdukovic D. (Alt)Neumayer L.0 : 2
    12Nagal S.Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    13Cecchinato M. (6)Romano F. (WC)2 : 0
    14Gill F.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    15Mrva M.Krumich M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Dhamne M. (Q)Blanchet U. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ribecai M.Guerrieri A.2 : 0
    2Poljicak M.Giustino L. (7)2 : 1
    3Glinka D. (4)Coppejans K.0 : 2
    4Fatic N.Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    5Bertola R. (8)Dalla Valle E.0 : 2
    6Neumayer L.Samuel T. (3)2 : 0
    7Cecchinato M. (6)Gill F.0 : 2
    8Krumich M.Blanchet U. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ribecai M.Poljicak M. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Coppejans K.Sachko V. (5)1 : 2
    3Dalla Valle E.Neumayer L.0 : 2
    4Gill F.Krumich M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ribecai M.Sachko V. (5)2 : 0
    2Neumayer L.Gill F. (RET.)1 : 0

    Final
    1Ribecai M.Neumayer L.1 : 2