Milos Karol vs Matteo Martineau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Roanne Challenger Men Milos Karol - Matteo Martineau
Result
1:2
09/10/2025 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
2216
Double Faults
74
1st Serve Percentage
65%79%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (57/75)76% (62/82)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (18/40)18% (4/22)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)20% (1/5)
1st Return Points Won
24% (20/82)24% (18/75)
2nd Return Points Won
82% (18/22)55% (22/40)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
65% (75/115)64% (66/103)
Return Points Won
36% (37/103)35% (40/115)
Total Points Won
51% (112/218)49% (106/218)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
12
Service Games Won
82% (14/17)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)18% (3/17)
Total Games Won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Milos Karol
38.4%
Matteo Martineau
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Milos Karol - Matteo Martineau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.25)

    1.52
    (1.61)
    6.6%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Milos Karol - Matteo Martineau?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Karol will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Martineau will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Martineau: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Martineau (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Karol is ranked ATP: 363. Martineau is ranked ATP: 297.
    • Karol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Martineau is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Karol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Martineau might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Martineau will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Karol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milos Karol - Matteo Martineau were as follows:
    08.10.2023 Milos Karol - Matteo Martineau 0:2
    Latest results of Milos Karol
    Latest results of Matteo Martineau
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)van Assche L.2 : 1
    2Stricker D. (Q)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    3Dodig M. (NG)Eubanks C.2 : 0
    4Gueymard Wayenburg S.Passaro F. (8)1 : 2
    5Misolic F. (3)Bernet H. (WC)1 : 2
    6Sachko V.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (Alt)Chidekh C.2 : 1
    8Durasovic V. (Q)Gaston H. (5)0 : 2
    9Carreno-Busta P. (6)Karol M. (LL)1 : 2
    10Galarneau A.Martineau M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Brunold M. (Q)Engel J. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Sakellaridis S. (Q)Struff J-L. (4)2 : 1
    13Blockx A. (7)Sels J. (LL)2 : 0
    14Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O.0 : 2
    15Glinka D. (Q)Hemery C.0 : 2
    16Added D. (WC)Thompson J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Stricker D.0 : 2
    2Dodig M.Passaro F. (8)2 : 0
    3Bernet H.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
    4Gojo B.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    5Karol M.Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Brunold M.Sakellaridis S.2 : 0
    7Blockx A. (7)Virtanen O.1 : 2
    8Hemery C.Thompson J. (RET.) (2)0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stricker D. (RET.)Dodig M.0 : 0
    2Budkov Kjaer N.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    3Martineau M.Brunold M.2 : 1
    4Virtanen O.Hemery C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Gaston H. (5)
    2Martineau M.Virtanen O.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2