Milos Karol vs Nicolas Mejia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Istanbul Challenger Men Milos Karol - Nicolas Mejia
Result
0:2
05/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
56%63%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (30/40)70% (33/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (13/32)68% (19/28)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)100% (6/6)
1st Return Points Won
30% (14/47)25% (10/40)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (9/28)59% (19/32)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/6)20% (2/10)
Service Points Won
60% (43/72)69% (52/75)
Return Points Won
31% (23/75)40% (29/72)
Total Points Won
45% (66/147)55% (81/147)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Milos Karol
43.7%
Nicolas Mejia
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 61.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milos Karol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Mejia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Milos Karol - Nicolas Mejia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.25)

    1.68
    (1.57)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Milos Karol - Nicolas Mejia?
  • Users Predictions: Milos Karol will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milos Karol will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Karol is ranked ATP: 357. Mejia is ranked ATP: 246.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mejia could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Milos Karol
    Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
    02.09.2025 Ilya Ivashka - Nicolas Mejia Ivashka I. retired
    12.08.2025 Nicolas Mejia - Adhithya Ganesan Ganesan A. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Klein L. (1)Purtseladze S.2 : 0
    2Krajci M. (Q)Karol M. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Ivashka I. (RET.) (PR)Mejia N.0 : 1
    4Gengel M.Hassan B. (8)2 : 1
    5Pacheco Mendez R. (9)Gombos N.1 : 2
    6Kirci K. (WC)Potenza L. (Q)0 : 2
    7Arinc K. (WC)Turker M. N. (WC)0 : 2
    8Makk P. (Q)Hemery C. (6)0 : 2
    9Echargui M. (5)Shelbayh A.0 : 2
    10Rosenkranz M. (Alt)Durasovic V.0 : 2
    11Nedelko I. (RET.) (Q)Molcan A. (Alt)0 : 1
    12Ursu V. (Q)Landaluce M. (3)0 : 2
    13Grenier H. (7)Hernandez A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Huesler M.Gray A. (Alt)1 : 2
    15Sakellaridis S.Langmo C.2 : 1
    16Kotov P.Virtanen O. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Klein L. (1)Karol M.1 : 2
    2Mejia N.Gengel M.2 : 1
    3Gombos N.Potenza L.0 : 2
    4Turker M. N.Hemery C. (6)1 : 2
    5Shelbayh A.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    6Molcan A.Landaluce M. (3)2 : 0
    7Grenier H. (7)Gray A.2 : 1
    8Sakellaridis S.Virtanen O. (RET.) (2)1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Karol M.Mejia N.0 : 2
    2Potenza L.Hemery C. (6)2 : 0
    3Shelbayh A.Molcan A.1 : 2
    4Grenier H. (7)Sakellaridis S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mejia N.Potenza L.2 : 0
    2Molcan A.Sakellaridis S.2 : 0

    Final
    1Mejia N.Molcan A.0 : 2