Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 30
- Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (216/360) | 45% (103/228) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (216/360) | 45% (103/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (23/84) | 30% (28/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (77/152) | 35% (30/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 42% (10/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 79 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Paterson C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 27', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
- 28', 0 - 2, Ekpiteta M. ⚽,
- 35', Vernam C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 2, Kabia J. ⚽,
- 71', Kelly L. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 71', Paterson C. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Kabia J. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
- 75', Offord L. 🟨,
- 79', Lavelle S. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 84', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
- 86', Cook A. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 87', Walker J. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
- 90+6', Vernam C. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
- 90+8', Matete J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town 34.6% | Draw 28.6% | Milton Keynes Dons 36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.7 ↑ (2.56) |
3.24 ↑ (3.22) |
2.55 ↓ (2.56) |
7.2% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
- Grimsby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- MK Dons is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, MK Dons has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Green K.
(Red Card)
Pym C.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Illness)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Thompson N.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Grimsby Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
06.09.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Grimsby Town
2:3
26.04.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Grimsby Town
0:0
26.10.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:3
12.03.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
28.11.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 54:32 | 22 | 62 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 46:30 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:24 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Swindon | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 50:34 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 59:33 | 26 | 54 |
| 6 | Salford | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Walsall | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:41 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Crewe | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Barnet | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 11 | Colchester | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 45 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 13 | Accrington | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | Oldham | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 43:51 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:50 | -22 | 27 |
| 20 | Crawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 32:51 | -19 | 26 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 26 |
| 22 | Barrow | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 24 |
| 23 | Newport | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22:50 | -28 | 21 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League