Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 30
  • Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.051.49
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
32
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
96
Passes
60% (216/360)45% (103/228)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.051.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.82
Total shots
128
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
167
Passes
60% (216/360)45% (103/228)
Long passes
27% (23/84)30% (28/93)
Passes in final third
51% (77/152)35% (30/85)
Crosses
21% (6/29)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.20
Throw ins
3925
Fouls
716
Tackles
53% (9/17)42% (10/24)
Duels won
5879
Clearances
3954
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
01
xGOT faced
1.821.05
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Paterson C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 27', Sweeney J. , Staunton R. ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Ekpiteta M. ,
  • 35', Vernam C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', 1 - 2, Kabia J. ,
  • 71', Kelly L. , Lemonheigh-Evans C. ,
  • 71', Paterson C. , Hepburn-Murphy R. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Kabia J. , Staunton R. (A),
  • 75', Offord L. 🟨,
  • 79', Lavelle S. , Warren T. ,
  • 84', Lemonheigh-Evans C. , Matete J. ,
  • 86', Cook A. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 87', Walker J. , Turi G. D. ,
  • 90+6', Vernam C. , Sellars-Fleming T. ,
  • 90+8', Matete J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
34.6%
Draw
28.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 28.4% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 27.5% 34.6%

Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.7
(2.56)
3.24
(3.22)
2.55
(2.56)
7.2%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
    • Grimsby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • MK Dons is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, MK Dons has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Green K. (Red Card) Pym C. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 2:3
    26.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 0:0
    26.10.2024 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:3
    12.03.2024 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    28.11.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 1:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley30188454:322262
    2Notts Co30176746:301657
    3Cambridge Utd30168642:241856
    4Swindon30174950:341655
    5MK Dons30159659:332654
    6Salford29164941:35652
    7Walsall30147938:31749
    8Chesterfield301212649:41848
    9Crewe311381047:38947
    10Barnet301210840:31946
    11Colchester29129843:311245
    12Grimsby29129841:32945
    13Accrington291271035:30543
    14Gillingham291011840:36441
    15Fleetwood291071238:39-137
    16Oldham28811928:29-135
    17Tranmere30881443:51-832
    18Cheltenham29931729:51-2230
    19Bristol Rovers30831928:50-2227
    20Crawley31681732:51-1926
    21Shrewsbury30681625:50-2526
    22Barrow29661730:46-1624
    23Newport29561829:54-2521
    24Harrogate31562022:50-2821

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League