Result
2:3
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 7
- Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (146/243) | 85% (551/651) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (146/243) | 85% (551/651) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (13/58) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (35/86) | 68% (108/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.53 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', Offord L. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Kabia J. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 3, Vernam C. ⚽, McEachran G. (A),
- 35', Offord L. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 36', Mellish J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Hogan S. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 3, McEachran G. (Own goal),
- 72', Vernam C. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
- 72', Wilson K. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
- 75', Kelly L. 🟨,
- 79', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 80', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 84', Kabia J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
- 86', McEachran G. 🟨,
- 89', Burns D. ↓, Eccleston N. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
43.5% | Draw
27.1% | Grimsby Town
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.02) |
3.52 ↑
(3.5) |
3.2 ↓
(3.56) |
4.6%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- MK Dons will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G.
(Injury)
Maguire L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
Wilson K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Inactive)
Hogan S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z.
(Inactive)
Lavelle S.
(Calf Injury)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
Walker J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Grimsby Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town were as follows:
26.04.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Grimsby Town
0:0
26.10.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:3
12.03.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
28.11.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
