Milton Keynes Dons vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town
Result
2:3
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 7
  • Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.84
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
60% (146/243)85% (551/651)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.47
Total shots
813
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1630
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
60% (146/243)85% (551/651)
Long passes
22% (13/58)49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
41% (35/86)68% (108/159)
Crosses
16% (3/19)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.15
Throw-ins
2023
Fouls
1111
Tackles
62% (8/13)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5065
Clearances
2949
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.470.29
Goals prevented
-1.53-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', Offord L. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Green K. , Vernam C. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Kabia J. ,
  • 29', 0 - 3, Vernam C. , McEachran G. (A),
  • 35', Offord L. , Nemane A. ,
  • 36', Mellish J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Hogan S. , Lemonheigh-Evans C. ,
  • 47', 1 - 3, McEachran G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Vernam C. , Soonsup-Bell J. ,
  • 72', Wilson K. , Collar W. ,
  • 75', Kelly L. 🟨,
  • 79', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Leko J. ,
  • 80', Kelly L. , Crowley D. ,
  • 84', Kabia J. , Rose D. ,
  • 86', McEachran G. 🟨,
  • 89', Burns D. , Eccleston N. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Lemonheigh-Evans C. , Paterson C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
43.5%
Draw
27.1%
Grimsby Town
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.9% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 28.5% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.02)
    3.52
    (3.5)
    3.2
    (3.56)
    4.6%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • MK Dons will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G. (Injury) Maguire L. (Hamstring Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury) Wilson K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A. (Inactive) Hogan S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive) Walker J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 0:0
    26.10.2024 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:3
    12.03.2024 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    28.11.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 1:1
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League