Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 30
- Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (216/360) | 45% (103/228) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (216/360) | 45% (103/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (23/84) | 30% (28/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (77/152) | 35% (30/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 42% (10/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 79 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Paterson C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 27', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
- 28', 0 - 2, Ekpiteta M. ⚽,
- 35', Vernam C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 2, Kabia J. ⚽,
- 71', Kelly L. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 71', Paterson C. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Kabia J. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
- 75', Offord L. 🟨,
- 79', Lavelle S. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 84', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
- 86', Cook A. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 87', Walker J. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
- 90+6', Vernam C. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
- 90+8', Matete J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
34.6% | Draw
28.6% | Milton Keynes Dons
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.56) |
3.24 ↑
(3.22) |
2.55 ↓
(2.56) |
7.2%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
- Grimsby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- MK Dons is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, MK Dons has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Green K.
(Red Card)
Pym C.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Illness)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Thompson N.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Grimsby Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
06.09.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Grimsby Town
2:3
26.04.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Grimsby Town
0:0
26.10.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:3
12.03.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
28.11.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
