Milton Keynes Dons vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

League Two - Round 45
Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	0.56
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
4	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
78% (270/348)	68% (198/290)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	0.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.35	0.00
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
12	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	7
Free Kicks
8	19
Passes
78% (270/348)	68% (198/290)
Long passes
30% (16/54)	37% (26/70)
Passes in final third
62% (45/73)	57% (80/141)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.46	0.30
Throw-ins
22	22
Fouls
19	8
Tackles
70% (7/10)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
56	61
Clearances
45	18
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.00	0.35
Goals prevented
0.00	0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Vernam C. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
59', Hogan S. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
60', Leko J. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
68', Lewington D. ↓, Maguire L. ↑,
76', Nemane A. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
78', Kelly L. ↓, White J. ↑,
85', Hendry C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
29.7%

Draw
26.7%

Grimsby Town
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.1%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.2%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milton Keynes Dons's form might have worsened.

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grimsby Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grimsby Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.48)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	2.16 ↓ (2.6)	6.4% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 1.
MK Dons is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Grimsby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Grimsby will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Wilson D. (Inactive)
Last 6 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Grimsby Town?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town were as follows:

26.10.2024 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:3

12.03.2024 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

28.11.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 1:1

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

21.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

21.04.2025 Port Vale - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

12.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Crewe	4	4	0	0	10:2	8	12
2	Grimsby	4	3	1	0	9:4	5	10
3	Chesterfield	4	3	0	1	7:5	2	9
4	Salford	4	3	0	1	6:5	1	9
5	MK Dons	4	2	2	0	8:1	7	8
6	Gillingham	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
7	Bromley	4	2	2	0	6:3	3	8
8	Harrogate	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
9	Cambridge Utd	4	2	1	1	6:5	1	7
10	Fleetwood	4	2	1	1	7:7	0	7
11	Walsall	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
12	Swindon	4	2	0	2	6:7	-1	6
13	Tranmere	3	1	2	0	6:2	4	5
14	Colchester	4	1	2	1	5:4	1	5
15	Notts Co	4	1	1	2	7:6	1	4
16	Newport	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
17	Oldham	4	0	3	1	2:3	-1	3
18	Barnet	4	1	0	3	3:6	-3	3
19	Barrow	4	1	0	3	2:5	-3	3
20	Accrington	3	0	1	2	2:5	-3	1
21	Bristol Rovers	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1
22	Crawley	4	0	1	3	2:7	-5	1
23	Shrewsbury	4	0	1	3	1:10	-9	1
24	Cheltenham	4	0	0	4	1:10	-9	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League