Result
1:0
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 32
- Referee: Blair H. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (253/389) | 69% (240/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (253/389) | 69% (240/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (29/91) | 25% (20/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (71/130) | 54% (36/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Collins A. ⚽,
- 22', Spellman M. 🟨,
- 38', Brennan C. ↓, Delaney R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jarvis C. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
- 46', Crole J. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 63', Paterson C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Paterson C. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 77', Collins A. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
- 79', Sprangler S. 🟨,
- 86', Garner G. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
- 86', Kamwa B. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 90+5', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 90+10', Hepburn-Murphy R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
70.8% | Draw
18.2% | Newport County
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.35) |
5.13 ↑
(4.73) |
8.57 ↑
(7.58) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Newport will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 71.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
- MK Dons is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Newport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, MK Dons is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Newport: Smith M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C.
(Inactive)
Kamwa B.
(Inactive)
- We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Newport County?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County were as follows:
23.08.2025
Newport County
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
18.04.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Newport County
0:0
21.12.2024
Newport County
-
Milton Keynes Dons
6:3
24.02.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Newport County
3:0
11.11.2023
Newport County
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:0
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
