Newport County vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5
  • Referee: Morland S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.622.19
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
69% (237/343)71% (260/368)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.622.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.451.66
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
19
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2326
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
47
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
69% (237/343)71% (260/368)
Long passes
37% (33/89)39% (28/72)
Passes in final third
52% (52/100)54% (70/130)
Crosses
10% (2/20)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.14
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
1213
Tackles
60% (6/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5155
Clearances
2853
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.660.45
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ogunneye H. , Lloyd B. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Mendez-Laing N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Spellman M. , Thomas J. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Paterson C. , Kelly L. (A),
  • 61', Jones G. , Thompson N. ,
  • 67', Antwi C. , Garner G. ,
  • 70', Kamwa B. (Pen),
  • 72', Nemane A. , Hepburn-Murphy R. ,
  • 77', Thompson N. 🟨,
  • 78', Mendez-Laing N. , Hogan S. ,
  • 78', Collar W. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 83', Davies T. 🟨,
  • 89', Davies T. , Driscoll-Glennon A. ,
  • 89', Hogan S. , Leko J. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
19.3%
Draw
24.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 25.1% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4% 24.6% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.88
    (4.48)
    3.84
    (3.73)
    1.69
    (1.73)
    5.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
    • Newport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • MK Dons has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, MK Dons is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Warner J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Hamstring Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 0:0
    21.12.2024 Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons 6:3
    24.02.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 3:0
    11.11.2023 Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0
    22.11.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 3:1
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League