Newport County vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5
  • Referee: Morland S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.622.19
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
69% (237/343)71% (260/368)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.622.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.451.66
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
19
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2326
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
47
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
69% (237/343)71% (260/368)
Long passes
37% (33/89)39% (28/72)
Passes in final third
52% (52/100)54% (70/130)
Crosses
10% (2/20)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.14
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
1213
Tackles
60% (6/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5155
Clearances
2853
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.660.45
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ogunneye H. , Lloyd B. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Mendez-Laing N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Spellman M. , Thomas J. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Paterson C. , Kelly L. (A),
  • 61', Jones G. , Thompson N. ,
  • 67', Antwi C. , Garner G. ,
  • 70', Kamwa B. (Pen),
  • 72', Nemane A. , Hepburn-Murphy R. ,
  • 77', Thompson N. 🟨,
  • 78', Mendez-Laing N. , Hogan S. ,
  • 78', Collar W. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 83', Davies T. 🟨,
  • 89', Davies T. , Driscoll-Glennon A. ,
  • 89', Hogan S. , Leko J. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
19.3%
Draw
24.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 25.1% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4% 24.6% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.88
    (4.48)
    3.84
    (3.73)
    1.69
    (1.73)
    5.9%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
    • Newport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • MK Dons has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, MK Dons is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Warner J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Hamstring Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 0:0
    21.12.2024 Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons 6:3
    24.02.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 3:0
    11.11.2023 Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0
    22.11.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 3:1
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League