Milton Keynes Dons vs Sutton United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Milton Keynes Dons - Sutton United
Result
4:4
27/04/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 46
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.901.58
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
1817
Shots on Goal
812
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
62
Corner Kicks
39
Offsides
61
Throw-ins
2130
Goalkeeper Saves
84
Fouls
1013
Yellow Cards
22
Attacks
8494
Dangerous Attacks
4243

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Payne J. , Dean M. (A),
  • 31', Coley J. , Duke-McKenna S. ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. , Dean M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 4)
  • 46', Sanderson O. , Eastmond C. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. , Lakin C. (A),
  • 56', Wearne S. , Tezgel E. ,
  • 56', Dean M. , Harrison E. ,
  • 60', 3 - 1, Tezgel E. ,
  • 62', Tomlinson J. , Norman C. ,
  • 62', Gilbey A. , Robson E. ,
  • 62', 3 - 2, Lakin C. , Smith H. (A),
  • 65', Eastmond C. 🟨,
  • 67', O'Hora W. 🟨,
  • 67', Hart S. 🟨,
  • 70', 4 - 2, Harrison E. , Tezgel E. (A),
  • 74', Jackson R. , Moore D. ,
  • 74', Lofthouse K. , Kemp D. ,
  • 74', Beautyman H. , Fadahunsi T. ,
  • 75', 4 - 3, Duke-McKenna S. , Fadahunsi T. (A),
  • 90+1', 4 - 4, Smith H. , Duke-McKenna S. (A),
  • 90+7', Harrison E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
46.1%
Draw
23.8%
Sutton United
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 24.1% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 23.4% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milton Keynes Dons's form might have worsened.
  • Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sutton United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sutton United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Milton Keynes Dons - Sutton United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.76)
    3.95
    (3.89)
    3.12
    (4.15)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Sutton United?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sutton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • MK Dons is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • MK Dons is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Sutton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • MK Dons will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Sutton United were as follows:
    23.09.2023 Sutton United - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Sutton United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grimsby11003:033
    2Crewe11003:123
    3Fleetwood11002:023
    4Walsall11002:113
    5Chesterfield11001:013
    6Cambridge Utd11001:013
    7Harrogate11001:013
    8Colchester10101:101
    9Gillingham10101:101
    10Tranmere10101:101
    11Accrington10101:101
    12Notts Co10101:101
    13Newport10101:101
    14Oldham10100:001
    15MK Dons10100:001
    16Shrewsbury10100:001
    17Bromley10100:001
    18Swindon10011:2-10
    19Bristol Rovers10010:1-10
    20Cheltenham10010:1-10
    21Barrow10010:1-10
    22Salford10011:3-20
    23Barnet10010:2-20
    24Crawley10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League