Mindoro Tamaraws vs Pangasinan Heatwaves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Philippines MBPL  Mindoro Tamaraws - Pangasinan Heatwaves
Result
89:79
16/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MPBL

Chances of winning


Mindoro Tamaraws
38.2%
Pangasinan Heatwaves
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 64.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mindoro Tamaraws has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mindoro Tamaraws's performance.
  • Pangasinan Heatwaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pangasinan Heatwaves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mindoro Tamaraws than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pangasinan Heatwaves than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Mindoro Tamaraws - Pangasinan Heatwaves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (3.19)

    1.52
    (1.32)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 160.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • Mindoro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pangasinan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pangasinan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pangasinan is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mindoro Tamaraws
    Latest results of Pangasinan Heatwaves
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Abra Weavers (1)Ilagan Isabela Cowboys (8)1 : 0
    2Batang Kankaloo (4)Pampanga Giant Lanterns (5)1 : 0
    3Nueva Ecija Vanguards (2)Pangasinan Heatwaves (7)0 : 1
    4San Juan Knights (3)Pasay Voyagers (6)1 : 0
    5Quezon Huskers (1)Mindoro Tamaraws (8)1 : 0
    6Basilan Viva Portmasters (4)GenSan Warriors (5)0 : 1
    7Batangas City (2)Zamboanga Sikat (7)1 : 0
    8Rizal Golden Coolers (3)Binan Tatak Gel (6)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2