Mindoro Tamaraws vs Sarangani Marlins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:65
11/06/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MPBL

Chances of winning


Mindoro Tamaraws
73.6%
Sarangani Marlins
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mindoro Tamaraws has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Sarangani Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mindoro Tamaraws than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mindoro Tamaraws that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarangani Marlins than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarangani Marlins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mindoro Tamaraws - Sarangani Marlins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.32)

    3.46
    (3.19)
    9.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 166.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
    What is the prediction for Mindoro Tamaraws - Sarangani Marlins?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 167.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -15.5, OT - Sarangani (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -12.5, OT - Sarangani (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -13.5, OT - Sarangani (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -14.5, OT - Sarangani (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -10.5, OT - Sarangani (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -11.5, OT - Sarangani (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -16.5, OT - Sarangani (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -17.5, OT - Sarangani (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9.5, OT - Sarangani (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarangani (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:78.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mindoro Tamaraws
    Latest results of Sarangani Marlins
    Philippines MBPL Table
    2026

    North Division
    PlWLPts
    1Batang Kankaloo440331:2568
    2Abra Weavers220213:1724
    3Pasig City11076:662
    4Bataan Risers431347:3067
    5San Juan Knights321260:2285
    6Ilagan Isabela Cowboys321217:2135
    7Pasay Voyagers422313:2986
    8Meycauayan422324:3186
    9Marikina Shoemasters422286:2976
    10Quezon City422289:3126
    11Valenzuela City Darkhorse312226:2464
    12Manila Batang Quiapo312233:2584
    13Bulacan Kuyas312245:2834
    14Paranaque Patriots404291:3764


    South Division
    PlWLPts
    1GenSan Warriors440347:2788
    2Quezon Huskers220147:1194
    3Basilan Steel431317:2947
    4Batangas City422341:3256
    5Binan Tatak Gel422273:2646
    6Cebu Greats422313:3096
    7Zamboanga Sikat312233:2364
    8Sarangani Marlins312234:2464
    9Rizal Golden Coolers312224:2384
    10Imus Braderhood312251:2664
    11Mindoro Tamaraws312239:2614
    12Bacolod Masskara413349:3825
    13Iloilo United Royals303219:2553
    14Negros Hacienderos202113:1492

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