Unión Molinense vs Minerva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
21/12/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 15

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Cortes F. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Feli ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ,
  • 50', 3 - 1, Martinez R. ,
  • 57', 4 - 1, Rodriguez Marin I. ,
  • 69', 5 - 1, Javi Alonso ,
  • 90+1', Guerrero F. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Unión Molinense
60.4%
Draw
25.6%
Minerva
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 25.1% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 23.4% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Unión Molinense - Minerva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.56)
    3.56
    (3.65)
    6.52
    (5.6)
    9.6%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Molinense is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Minerva is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Minerva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Molinense is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Molinense will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Molinense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Molinense - Minerva were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Unión Molinense - Minerva 0:0
    15.09.2024 Minerva - Unión Molinense 2:2
    Latest results of Unión Molinense
    Latest results of Minerva
    06.12.2025 Santomera - Minerva 3:1
    23.11.2025 Minerva - Caravaca 1:0
    16.11.2025 Ciudad de Cieza - Minerva 1:0
    09.11.2025 Minerva - Bala Azul 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad Cieza30198353:163765
    2Real Murcia B30167754:371755
    3Molinense30157841:311052
    4Mazarron CF301312543:261751
    5Olimpico de Totana301311638:241450
    6UCAM Murcia B301213545:311449
    7Pulpileno30129928:27145
    8Santa Cruz301261232:32042
    9Aguilas FC B301191038:36242
    10Bala Azul30815733:25839
    11Minerva309111023:32-938
    12FC Cartagena SAD B30991238:35336
    13EG El Palmar CF30871524:39-1531
    14Deportivo Maritimo30791430:42-1230
    15Caravaca305111428:40-1226
    16Muleno305111426:47-2126
    17Yeclano B30591620:46-2624
    18Santomera30581729:57-2823

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          Relegation