Mingge Xu vs Jessika Ponchet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Birmingham Challenger Women Mingge Xu - Jessika Ponchet
Result
0:2
06/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
77%59%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (28/51)75% (24/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
60% (9/15)55% (12/22)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
25% (8/32)45% (23/51)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (10/22)40% (6/15)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)33% (4/12)
Service Points Won
54% (37/68)67% (36/54)
Return Points Won
33% (18/54)46% (31/68)
Total Points Won
45% (55/122)55% (67/122)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Mingge Xu
39.3%
Jessika Ponchet
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mingge Xu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mingge Xu's form might have worsened.
  • Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessika Ponchet's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mingge Xu than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mingge Xu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessika Ponchet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mingge Xu - Jessika Ponchet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (1.98)

    1.55
    (1.77)
    6.5%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Mingge Xu - Jessika Ponchet?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Xu will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ponchet will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Xu is ranked WTA: 410. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 140.
    • Xu has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ponchet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ponchet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mingge Xu
    04.06.2025 Mingge Xu - Katarzyna Kawa 2:1
    02.06.2025 Alycia Parks - Mingge Xu 0:2
    02.05.2025 Mingge Xu - Amelia Rajecki Xu M. retired
    01.05.2025 Mingge Xu - Marie Weckerle Weckerle M. retired
    30.04.2025 Mingge Xu - Lilian Poling 2:1
    Latest results of Jessika Ponchet
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Parks A. (1)Xu M. (WC)0 : 2
    2Andreeva E.Kawa K.0 : 2
    3Ponchet J.Diatchenko V. (Q)2 : 0
    4Watson H. (WC)Gadecki O. (8)2 : 0
    5Eala A. (3)Fruhvirtova L.1 : 2
    6Fett J.Burrage J. (WC)0 : 2
    7Banks A. (WC)Stefanini L.0 : 2
    8Ryser V. (Q)Maria T. (7)2 : 0
    9Golubic V. (6)Tan H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Snigur D.Masarova R.1 : 2
    11Montgomery R.Gibson T.2 : 1
    12Cabrera L. (Q)Sonmez Z. (4)0 : 2
    13Minnen G. (5)Hartono A. (LL)2 : 0
    14Marino R.Martincova T. (Q)1 : 2
    15Ishii S. (Q)Wei S. (LL)0 : 2
    16Inglis M.Birrell K. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Xu M.Kawa K.2 : 1
    2Ponchet J.Watson H.2 : 1
    3Fruhvirtova L.Burrage J.2 : 0
    4Stefanini L.Ryser V.2 : 0
    5Golubic V. (6)Masarova R.0 : 2
    6Montgomery R.Sonmez Z. (4)2 : 1
    7Minnen G. (5)Martincova T.2 : 1
    8Wei S.Birrell K. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Xu M.Ponchet J.0 : 2
    2Fruhvirtova L.Stefanini L.2 : 0
    3Masarova R.Montgomery R. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Minnen G. (5)Birrell K. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ponchet J.Fruhvirtova L.1 : 2
    2Masarova R.Minnen G. (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1Fruhvirtova L.Minnen G. (5)0 : 2